5 October 2026, 18:30 UTC

Cordoba vs Tenerife Segunda División prediction & result

Cordoba
Referee: Ojaos Valera, Alejandro
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Cordoba 3-2 Tenerife.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Cordoba, 28% draw, 34% Tenerife — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cordoba at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cordoba97%Draw3%Tenerife0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Eder Garciaassist: Cristian Carracedo
3'
•Eder Garcia
4'
15'
Gerard Valentín
17'
⚽Christian Pierre Louis Gomisassist: Ivan Chapela
⚽Diego Percanassist: Diego Bri
23'
Rubén González Alves
27'
Cristian Carracedo
28'
28'
Enric Gallego
•Rubén González Alves
29'
36'
Juanjo Sánchez
37'
Nacho Gil
45+3'
Anthony Landazuri
45'
🔁Enric Gallegoout: Nacho Gil
45'
🔁Gerard Valentínout: Dani Fernández
57'
🔁Ivan Chapelaout: Grant Leon Ranos
🔁Eder Garciaout: Kevin Villodres Medina
67'
🔁Diego Briout: Damián Cáceres Rodríguez
67'
67'
🔁César Álvarez Abranteout: Roko Jureskin
68'
⚽Grant Leon Ranosassist: Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa
Daniel Budesca
73'
🔁Diego Percanout: Enol Rodríguez Heres
76'
76'
🔁David Rodríguez Ramosout: Jorge Moreno San Vidal
⚽Ismael Ruiz Sánchez
77'
🔁Cristian Carracedoout: Egoitz Muñoz
84'
🔁Adnane Ghailan Benktibout: Théo Zidane
84'
Daniel Esmoris Tasende
86'
87'
Juanjo Sánchez
87'
Dani Martín

Match stats — Cordoba vs Tenerife

62%Possession38%
16Shots10
6On target2
4Corners8

Line-ups

Cordoba 4-3-3
  • 13Guilherme FernandesG
  • 30Daniel BudescaD
  • 20Nélson MonteD
  • 16Rubén AlvesD
  • 3Dani TasendeD
  • 28Eder GarcíaM
  • 8Isma RuizM
  • 14Adnane GhailanM
  • 23Cristian CarracedoF
  • 9PercanF
  • 11Diego BriF
Substitutes
  • 26Alejandro Arévalo ArrebolaG
  • 21Carlos AlbarránD
  • 6D. CaceresM
  • 24S. El JebariF
  • 5Juan GutiérrezD
  • 4Álex MartínD
  • 27Egoitz MuñozD
  • 18Enol RodríguezF
  • 19Ibai SanzF
Coach: Iván Ania
Tenerife 4-4-2
  • 1Dani MartínG
  • 19César ÁlvarezD
  • 27N. ViereckD
  • 12A. LandázuriD
  • 2David RodríguezD
  • 14Gerard ValentínM
  • 15FabricioM
  • 6JuanjoM
  • 24Iván ChapelaM
  • 18Enric GallegoF
  • 17C. GomisF
Substitutes
  • 29Daniel FernándezM
  • 10Nacho GilM
  • 3R. JureškinD
  • 4José LeónD
  • 40Gabriel LozanoG
  • 11Noel LópezF
  • 21Marc MateuD
  • 5Jorge MorenoD
  • 7M. PečarM
Coach: Álvaro

Form going into Cordoba vs Tenerife

Cordoba

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Valladolid27 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Albacete18 September 2026
  • L0-2Almeria12 September 2026
  • L2-3away to Sabadell7 September 2026
  • L1-3Granada CF30 August 2026

Tenerife

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Cadiz26 September 2026
  • L0-5away to Castellón19 September 2026
  • W2-0Leganes13 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Real Sociedad II5 September 2026
  • L0-1Sporting Gijon28 August 2026

What these results say

  • Cordoba conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Cordoba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Cordoba scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Tenerife failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Tenerife conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Tenerife had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Cordoba136162222019
14Tenerife123631517-215

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cordoba vs Tenerife

  • 15 February 2025Tenerife 2–3 CordobaSegunda División
  • 8 December 2024Cordoba 3–0 TenerifeSegunda División
  • 9 February 2019Tenerife 0–2 CordobaSegunda División
  • 22 September 2018Cordoba 1–1 TenerifeSegunda División
  • 11 February 2018Tenerife 5–1 CordobaSegunda División

Leading scorers: Cordoba and Tenerife

Cordoba

GoalsAssists

  • Percan61
  • Eder García42

Tenerife

GoalsAssists

  • Enric Gallego81

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Cordoba beat Tenerife 3–2. The model had made a win for Cordoba its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Eder Garcia 3' for Cordoba, Christian Pierre Louis Gomis 17' for Tenerife, Diego Percan 23' for Cordoba, Grant Leon Ranos 68' for Tenerife, Ismael Ruiz Sánchez 77' for Cordoba. Sent off: Juanjo Sánchez (Tenerife) 87'.

How the call on Cordoba v Tenerife has moved

First published on 20 Sep at 40% / 28% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 38% / 28% / 34%: the biggest move is Cordoba's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Cordoba win38%▼ −2
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Tenerife win34%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.