Club Deportivo Los Chankas
vs
Cusco
Primera División prediction
Our model says: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–2 Cusco
The model makes it 33% Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 27% draw, 40% Cusco — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.35, Cusco 1.57.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Cusco: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 8th on 43 points from 28 games; Cusco are 5th on 45 points from 28 games — Primera División, Primera Division: Tabla Anual.
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Atletico Grau.
- Cusco have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Alianza Lima.
- Last 6 meetings: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 10 May 2026, ended Cusco 1–1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
More Primera División (Peru) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cusco at 40% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- D0-0away to Atletico Grau8 October 2026
- D1-1away to Cienciano30 September 2026
- L1-2FC Cajamarca12 September 2026
- L0-5away to Sporting Cristal6 September 2026
- L3-4Juan Pablo II College29 August 2026
Cusco
- L1-2Alianza Lima11 October 2026
- W2-1away to FC Cajamarca19 September 2026
- L0-1FBC Melgar12 September 2026
- W2-0UCV Moquegua5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Cienciano31 August 2026
What these results say
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Cusco scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Cusco conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 43 |
| 5 | Cusco | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 45 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco
- 10 May 2026Cusco 1–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
- 4 October 2025Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 CuscoPrimera División
- 17 May 2025Cusco 3–3 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
- 17 October 2024Cusco 2–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
- 4 May 2024Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–0 CuscoPrimera División
- 14 August 2022Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 CuscoSegunda División
Leading scorers: Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
GoalsAssists
- F. Torres94
- J. Quintero61
Cusco
GoalsAssists
- F. Callejo162
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Club Deportivo Los Chankas carry a model rating of 6.19 against 6.42 for Cusco. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.35 goals for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 1.57 for Cusco. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas rate 0.52 in attack and 1.94 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Cusco rate 0.67 and 1.60.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Cusco the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Club Deportivo Los Chankas against 1.57 for Cusco. Club Deportivo Los Chankas's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.94 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.6 for Cusco.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home · Cusco away
League matches only, Primera División, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Primera División matches this season: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 28, Cusco 28.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas score most often in the 76–90 minute window (11 goals); Cusco have let in 8 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- at UCV Moquegua31 Oct · Primera Divisiónwin 33%
- vs Alianza Lima7 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 24%
- at UTC Cajamarca14 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 33%
Cusco
- vs Sport Boys31 Oct · Primera Divisiónwin 46%
- at Atletico Grau7 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 33%
- vs ADT14 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 58%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.