Club Africain
vs
CA Bizertin
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: Club Africain 2–0 CA Bizertin
The model makes it 62% Club Africain, 24% draw, 14% CA Bizertin — fair odds of 1.61, 4.17 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (14%).
Expected goals: Club Africain 1.94, CA Bizertin 0.64.
Both teams to score: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Club Africain are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Club Africain are 4th on 9 points from 4 games; CA Bizertin are 8th on 8 points from 5 games — Ligue 1.
- Club Africain have won 3 of their last 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to US Ben Guerdane.
- CA Bizertin are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to US Monastirienne.
- Last 6 meetings: Club Africain 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 31 January 2026, ended Club Africain 1–0 CA Bizertin.
More Ligue 1 (Tunisia) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Club Africain vs CA Bizertin
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Africain at 62% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Club Africain vs CA Bizertin
Club Africain
- L1-2away to US Ben Guerdane10 October 2026
- W1-0ES Zarzis20 September 2026
- W1-0ES Hammam-Sousse29 August 2026
- W1-0away to ES Metlaoui23 August 2026
CA Bizertin
- D0-0US Monastirienne10 October 2026
- L0-2away to CS Sfaxien20 September 2026
- D1-1Olympique Béja5 September 2026
- W1-0away to CS Hammam-Lif30 August 2026
- W1-0AS Marsa23 August 2026
What these results say
- Club Africain scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Club Africain won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Club Africain kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for CA Bizertin had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Club Africain | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | CA Bizertin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Africain vs CA Bizertin
- 31 January 2026Club Africain 1–0 CA BizertinLigue 1
- 27 August 2025CA Bizertin 0–2 Club AfricainLigue 1
- 4 May 2025CA Bizertin 1–0 Club AfricainLigue 1
- 28 December 2024Club Africain 1–0 CA BizertinLigue 1
- 26 June 2024CA Bizertin 2–1 Club AfricainCup
- 20 March 2021Club Africain 1–0 CA BizertinLigue 1
The two sides
Club Africain carry a model rating of 6.6 against 6.2 for CA Bizertin. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.94 goals for Club Africain and 0.64 for CA Bizertin. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Club Africain rate 0.71 in attack and 1.18 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; CA Bizertin rate 0.45 and 1.68.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Club Africain the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.94 expected goals for Club Africain against 0.64 for CA Bizertin. Club Africain's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.18 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.68 for CA Bizertin.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Club Africain at home · CA Bizertin away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: Club Africain 4, CA Bizertin 5.
Club Africain score most often in the 76–90 minute window (2 goals); CA Bizertin have let in 0 there.
CA Bizertin score most often in the 61–75 minute window (2 goals); Club Africain have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Club Africain
- at Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer24 Oct · Ligue 1win 33%
- vs ES Tunis21 Nov · Ligue 1win 51%
- at ES Sahel28 Nov · Ligue 1win 50%
- vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane5 Dec · Ligue 1win 62%
CA Bizertin
- vs ES Hammam-Sousse24 Oct · Ligue 1win 49%
- at Stade Tunisien21 Nov · Ligue 1win 18%
- vs ES Zarzis28 Nov · Ligue 1win 36%
- at US Ben Guerdane5 Dec · Ligue 1win 21%
- at ES Metlaoui12 Dec · Ligue 1win 29%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.