Castellón vs Sabadell Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Castellón 0-0 Sabadell.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Castellón, 39% draw, 17% Sabadell — fair odds of 2.27, 2.56 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Castellón at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Castellón vs Sabadell
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13R. MatthysG
- 2Juanjo NietoD
- 22J. MellotD
- 5A. JimenezD
- 12L. AlcazarD
- 21AlvaroM
- 8BarriM
- 7R. SanchezM
- 27A. GalaM
- 18P. SantiagoM
- 9O. CamaraF
- 1A. SaipiG
- 30M. WillmanD
- 6M. DoueM
- 4A. SienraD
- 10I. SueroM
- 17F. CastilloM
- 23A. GarciaF
- 25J. VlakM
- 14I. CordobaM
- 1D. FuoliG
- 7T. RipollD
- 14O. SanzD
- 6E. GonzalezD
- 5BonaldoD
- 4M. CodinaD
- 22Q. LiameedM
- 20A. Orriols CerarolsM
- 8P. PonsM
- 16N. GioacchiniF
- 23J. PriegoF
- 13J. OrtegaG
- 31M. EstevezG
- 15J. C. Lazaro CerveraD
- 27J. CatalaD
- 19Y. RahmaniF
- 24E. Aguilar ElizaldeM
- 30X. MorenoM
- 17A. CosciaF
- 10M. A. Ramirez CarrascoF
Form going into Castellón vs Sabadell
Castellón
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Real Sociedad II14 August 2026
Sabadell
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Sporting Gijon17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 27 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Castellón vs Sabadell
- 18 July 2026Castellón 2–0 SabadellFriendlies Clubs
- 16 April 2023Sabadell 3–1 CastellónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
- 4 September 2022Castellón 3–1 SabadellPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
- 12 March 2022Sabadell 1–3 CastellónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
- 19 December 2021Castellón 0–1 SabadellPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
- 13 March 2021Castellón 2–1 SabadellSegunda División
Leading scorers: Castellón and Sabadell
Castellón
GoalsAssists
- Israel Suero62
- Ousmane Camara41
Sabadell
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Castellón and Sabadell drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Castellón at 44% and given a draw 39%. On expected goals it finished 0.65–1.83.