24 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra Segunda División prediction & result

Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Celta de Vigo II 4-2 FC Andorra.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Celta de Vigo II, 27% draw, 38% FC Andorra — fair odds of 2.86, 3.70 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Andorra at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Celta de Vigo II4%Draw92%FC Andorra4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
Hugo Solozábal
15'
Marti Vila
45+1'
Efe Akman
49'
⚽H. Lopezassist: H. Solozabal
52'
⚽H. Lopezassist: M. Sidibe
⚽B. Somuahassist: G. Milla
55'
Adrià Capdevila
58'
🔁J. Oliverasout: J. Lopez
59'
🔁A. Capdevilaout: H. F. Cuenca Martinez
59'
🔁P. Meixusout: O. Marcos
59'
🔁B. Somuahout: A. Marin
59'
62'
🔁J. Canoout: Quintana Nacho
62'
🔁H. Solozabalout: R. Schneider
Kike Ribes
65'
72'
🔁H. Lopezout: J. Rijkhoff
72'
🔁M. Sidibeout: A. Calvo
77'
•Hugo Cuenca
🔁H. Burcioout: A. Kibet
81'
Óscar Marcos
85'
86'
🔁M. Domenechout: S. Molina
⚽A. Marinassist: G. Milla
87'
Anxo Rodríguez
90+4'
⚽A. Marinassist: K. Ribes
90'
⚽A. Antanonassist: A. Kibet
90'

Match stats — Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra

36%Possession64%
10Shots17
7On target5
4Corners4
2.53xG3.72

Goals against chances

Celta de Vigo II4 from 2.53 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Andorra2 from 3.72 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Celta de Vigo II 3-4-3
  • 1J. B. CarrilloG
  • 3K. RibesD
  • 6P. MeixusD
  • 20A. RodriguezD
  • 23G. MillaM
  • 16A. CapdevilaM
  • 5H. BurcioM
  • 14J. OliverasM
  • 8A. AntanonF
  • 7B. SomuahF
  • 11A. ArcosF
Substitutes
  • 13Caio BaroneG
  • 21A. OlmedoD
  • 4S. M. NdiayeD
  • 2P. GavianD
  • 18J. LopezD
  • 17H. F. Cuenca MartinezM
  • 10O. MarcosM
  • 15A. KibetM
  • 32H. LopezM
Coach: Fredi Alvarez
FC Andorra 4-3-3
  • 13P. LopezG
  • 17T. CarriqueD
  • 5M. Bombardo PoyatoD
  • 23D. AlendeD
  • 20M. VilaD
  • 8E. AkmanM
  • 10M. DomenechM
  • 6H. SolozabalM
  • 15J. CanoF
  • 29H. LopezF
  • 21M. SidibeF
Substitutes
  • 1N. RattiG
  • 31J. LagunasG
  • 3L. M. SpatzD
  • 18A. LopezD
  • 2J. SebastianD
  • 14S. MolinaM
  • 19Quintana NachoM
  • 16R. SchneiderM
  • 28T. OlmedoM
Coach: Carles Manso

Form going into Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra

Celta de Vigo II

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Cadiz15 August 2026

FC Andorra

All competitions we cover

  • W5-1AD Ceuta FC15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Celta de Vigo II133461925-613
19FC Andorra123271722-511

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra

  • 9 March 2025FC Andorra 2–0 Celta de Vigo IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
  • 15 December 2024Celta de Vigo II 3–0 FC AndorraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Leading scorers: Celta de Vigo II and FC Andorra

Celta de Vigo II

GoalsAssists

  • A. Marin81

FC Andorra

GoalsAssists

  • Jordi Cano52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Celta de Vigo II beat FC Andorra 4–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Andorra at 38% and given a win for Celta de Vigo II 35%. The goals: H. Lopez 49' for FC Andorra, H. Lopez 52' for FC Andorra, B. Somuah 55' for Celta de Vigo II, A. Marin 87' for Celta de Vigo II, A. Marin 90' for Celta de Vigo II, A. Antanon 90' for Celta de Vigo II. On expected goals it finished 2.53–3.72.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.