Austria Vienna
vs
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Austria Vienna 1–0 Wolfsberger AC
The model makes it 51% Austria Vienna, 28% draw, 21% Wolfsberger AC — fair odds of 1.96, 3.57 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Austria Vienna 1.61, Wolfsberger AC 0.84.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
Edge to Austria Vienna: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Austria Vienna's rating is built from 44 Austrian Bundesliga matches and Wolfsberger AC's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 462 matches.
Key facts
- Austria Vienna are 11th on 8 points from 12 games; Wolfsberger AC are bottom on 6 points from 12 games — Bundesliga.
- Austria Vienna have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to WSG Wattens.
- Wolfsberger AC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-6 defeat away to Rapid Vienna.
- Last 6 meetings: Wolfsberger AC 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended Wolfsberger AC 3–0 Austria Vienna.
More Austrian Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Austria Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
Has the model earned this number?
Austria Vienna at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Austria Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
Austria Vienna
Bundesliga
- D1-1away to WSG Wattens8 November 2026
- L0-2Rapid Vienna1 November 2026
- L1-2away to SCR Altach23 October 2026
- L2-3away to Ried17 October 2026
- L0-2Sturm Graz10 October 2026
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
- L0-6away to Rapid Vienna6 November 2026
- D1-1Sturm Graz1 November 2026
- L0-1away to TSV Hartberg24 October 2026
- L0-2WSG Wattens18 October 2026
- L0-3away to SCR Altach11 October 2026
What these results say
- Austria Vienna did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Austria Vienna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Austria Vienna
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 43% today
Wolfsberger AC
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 86% today
From our Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Austria Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
- 2 August 2026Wolfsberger AC 3–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 7 December 2025Wolfsberger AC 2–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 10 August 2025Austria Vienna 0–2 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 18 May 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 6 April 2025Austria Vienna 0–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 9 November 2024Wolfsberger AC 0–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
Leading scorers: Austria Vienna and Wolfsberger AC
Austria Vienna
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Wolfsberger AC
GoalsAssists
- G. Vrioni40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Austria Vienna the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.61 expected goals for Austria Vienna against 0.84 for Wolfsberger AC. Austria Vienna's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.41/1.76 for Wolfsberger AC.
How the model reaches 51% for Austria Vienna to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Austria Vienna to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 3 points, Austria Vienna's ratings add 7 points and Wolfsberger AC's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 51%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Both sides at this match's level40%−3
- Austria Vienna's ratings47%+7
- Wolfsberger AC's ratings51%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Austria Vienna at home · Wolfsberger AC away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Austria ViennaWolfsberger AC
Austria Vienna are 11th after 12 Bundesliga matches (between 8th and 12th so far); Wolfsberger AC are 12th after 12 (between 2nd and 12th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: Austria Vienna 12, Wolfsberger AC 12.
Austria Vienna score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Wolfsberger AC have let in 8 there.
Wolfsberger AC score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Austria Vienna have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Austria Vienna
- at Sturm Graz6 Dec · Bundesligawin 17%
- at Lask Linz13 Dec · Bundesligawin 16%
- vs Grazer AK23 Jan · Bundesligawin 50%
- at Rapid Vienna30 Jan · Bundesligawin 11%
Wolfsberger AC
- vs Austria Lustenau6 Dec · Bundesligawin 40%
- at Red Bull Salzburg13 Dec · Bundesligawin 7%
- at Sturm Graz23 Jan · Bundesligawin 11%
- vs TSV Hartberg30 Jan · Bundesligawin 24%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.