Dinamo Bucuresti
vs
FC Botosani
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Dinamo Bucuresti 2–0 FC Botosani
The model makes it 53% Dinamo Bucuresti, 27% draw, 20% FC Botosani — fair odds of 1.89, 3.70 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Dinamo Bucuresti 2.02, FC Botosani 0.83.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High.
Published
Key facts
- Dinamo Bucuresti are top on 23 points from 10 games; FC Botosani are 12th on 11 points from 10 games — Liga I.
- Dinamo Bucuresti are unbeaten in their last 5 (4 won), most recently a 4-0 win at home to Farul Constanta.
- FC Botosani have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 1-3 defeat away to CFR 1907 Cluj.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 1 win each, 4 draws; the most recent, 24 November 2025, ended FC Botosani 1–1 Dinamo Bucuresti.
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Bucuresti at 53% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani
Dinamo Bucuresti
- W4-0Farul Constanta20 September 2026
- W3-1away to Csikszereda11 September 2026
- W2-1FCSB5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara29 August 2026
- W2-1Universitatea Cluj22 August 2026
FC Botosani
- L1-3away to CFR 1907 Cluj19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Arges Pitesti13 September 2026
- W5-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Farul Constanta30 August 2026
- W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026
What these results say
- Dinamo Bucuresti went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Botosani scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 23 |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani
- 24 November 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 21 July 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 7 February 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 27 September 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 2–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 23 April 2024FC Botosani 2–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 18 December 2023FC Botosani 0–2 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
Leading scorers: Dinamo Bucuresti and FC Botosani
Dinamo Bucuresti
- D. Armstrong4 goals8 assists
- Martín Pascual4 goals
- Alberto Soro3 goals2 assists
FC Botosani
- A. Dumiter6 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Dinamo Bucuresti carry a model rating of 6.67 against 6.38 for FC Botosani. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.02 goals for Dinamo Bucuresti and 0.83 for FC Botosani. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Dinamo Bucuresti rate 0.82 in attack and 1.18 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Botosani rate 0.64 and 1.64.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dinamo Bucuresti a 31.8% chance of the title and FC Botosani 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dinamo Bucuresti the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.02 expected goals for Dinamo Bucuresti against 0.83 for FC Botosani. Dinamo Bucuresti's attack/defence rating is 0.82/1.18 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.64 for FC Botosani.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Dinamo Bucuresti at home · FC Botosani away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Dinamo Bucuresti 10, FC Botosani 10.
Dinamo Bucuresti score most often in the 31–45 minute window (7 goals); FC Botosani have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Dinamo Bucuresti
- at CFR 1907 Cluj24 Oct · Liga Iwin 35%
- vs Uta Arad31 Oct · Liga Iwin 52%
- at Arges Pitesti7 Nov · Liga Iwin 39%
- vs Petrolul Ploiesti21 Nov · Liga Iwin 53%
FC Botosani
- vs Petrolul Ploiesti24 Oct · Liga Iwin 42%
- at Universitatea Craiova31 Oct · Liga Iwin 17%
- vs Oțelul7 Nov · Liga Iwin 44%
- vs FC Voluntari21 Nov · Liga Iwin 51%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.