29 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad Pro League prediction & result

Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Al-Fateh 0-0 Al-Ittihad.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Al-Fateh, 28% draw, 35% Al-Ittihad — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al-Fateh at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al-Fateh4%Draw92%Al-Ittihad4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Marwane Saadane
42'
45+3'
Hassan Kadesh
46'
Faris Abdi
Zaydou Youssouf
47'
Saeed Baattia
53'
55'
Dion Lopy
63'
🔁A. Al Julaydanout: J. Simic
63'
🔁F. Abdiout: M. Fagihy
🔁F. Al Abdulwahedout: A. R. Al Khaibre
65'
🔁F. Al Zubaidiout: S. Al Sharfa
65'
67'
🔁M. Aliout: A. Al Ghamdi
68'
🔁M. Al Sahafiout: G. Ilenikhena
76'
Jan-Carlo Simić
🔁A. I. Al Khaibariout: Z. Al Jari
89'
🔁W. Kangaout: A. Al Suwailem
89'
89'
🔁S. Bergwijnout: F. Al Shamrani
90+5'
Houssem Aouar
🔁S. Baattiaout: A. Al Masoud
90'

Match stats — Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad

37%Possession63%
11Shots24
7On target8
1Corners10
0.99xG2.1

Goals against chances

Al-Fateh0 from 0.99 xGless than the chances were worth
Al-Ittihad0 from 2.10 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al-Fateh 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. SemperG
  • 15S. BaattiaD
  • 3K. BoatengD
  • 17M. SaadaneD
  • 16A. I. Al KhaibariD
  • 28Z. YoussoufM
  • 8M. LixandruM
  • 7F. Al ZubaidiM
  • 80F. Al AbdulwahedM
  • 10L. HaraslinM
  • 9W. KangaF
Substitutes
  • 94W. Al EneziG
  • 19R. KelderD
  • 4Z. Al JariD
  • 22A. R. Al Khaibre
  • 78A. Al SuwailemD
  • 18A. Al FawazM
  • 23SorrisoM
  • 29A. Al MasoudF
  • 49S. Al SharfaF
Coach: Khaled Al Atwi
Al-Ittihad 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. RajkovicG
  • 32A. Al JulaydanD
  • 2D. PereiraD
  • 15H. KadeshD
  • 25F. AbdiD
  • 8M. AliM
  • 30D. LopyM
  • 22M. Al SahafiM
  • 10H. AouarM
  • 34S. BergwijnM
  • 21Y. En NesyriF
Substitutes
  • 50M. Al AbsiG
  • 4J. SimicD
  • 42M. FagihyD
  • 66M. BarnawiD
  • 60R. KaabiM
  • 11S. Al ShehriF
  • 29F. Al ShamraniM
  • 27A. Al GhamdiF
  • 9G. IlenikhenaF
Coach: Jens Wissing

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Al-Fateh111371023-136
4Al-Ittihad107212010+1023

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Al-Fateh and Al-Ittihad

Al-Fateh

No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Al-Ittihad

GoalsAssists

  • Y. En-Nesyri70
  • G. Ilenikhena63
  • S. Bergwijn51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.