29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Al Ain vs Al Nasr Pro League prediction & result

Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium, Al Ain
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Al Ain 2-1 Al Nasr.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Al Ain, 28% draw, 24% Al Nasr — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al Ain at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al Ain97%Draw3%Al Nasr0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
David Petrovic
⚽Soufiane Rahimi (pen)
35'
43'
⚽Chris Bediaassist: Marius Hoibraten
Matías Palacios
50'
⚽Ramy Rabiaassist: Alejandro Romero Gamarra
58'
62'
🔁Abdoulaye Toureout: Mehdi Ghayedi
62'
🔁Moussa Ndiayeout: Felipe de Souza Motta Marins
⚽Giorgos Giakoumakisassist: Ramy Rabia
62'
🔁Giorgos Giakoumakisout: Baba Bello Ilou
71'
🔁Rafa Rodriguesout: Erik Jorgens de Menezes
71'
🔁Valentino Lazaroout: Amadu Saidou Niang
71'
81'
🔁Zayed Sultanout: João Moreira
81'
🔁David Petrovicout: Wesley Delgado
🔁Alejandro Romero Gamarraout: Ibrahima Junior Ndiaye
84'
🔁Soufiane Rahimiout: Marcos André Paulino Maia
90+2'

Match stats — Al Ain vs Al Nasr

54%Possession46%
24Shots6
7On target1
8Corners2

Line-ups

Al Ain
  • 17K. EisaG
  • 19V. LazaroD
  • 14M. RatnikD
  • 25R. RabiaD
  • 4Y. Ben Khaleq
  • 2R. RodriguesD
  • 10KakuM
  • 70A. K. Traore
  • 20M. PalaciosM
  • 7G. GiakoumakisF
  • 21S. RahimiF
Substitutes
  • 1M. Bu SendaG
  • 35S. Hassan
  • 15Erik MenezesD
  • 3Marcos Maia
  • 56A. NiangD
  • 97A. JasicM
  • 6D. SkokoD
  • 88M. Hamid
  • 30Hazim MohammadM
Coach: Vladimir Ivic
Al Nasr
  • 12A. ShambihG
  • 24Z. Al ZaabiD
  • 4GlauberD
  • 22M. HoibraatenD
  • 55D. Petrovic
  • 8M. MarinM
  • 7K. AgudeloM
  • 70A. HrusticM
  • 38M. Ndiaye
  • 28A. ToureM
  • 9C. BediaF
Substitutes
  • 37S. Salem
  • 2S. Sultan
  • 21A. IdreesD
  • 30Joao MoreiraD
  • 14Felipe MottaD
  • 10M. GhaediF
  • 5M. AbdulbasitM
  • 6H. Mahdi
  • 17Wesley DelgadoF
Coach: Milos Milojevic

Form going into Al Ain vs Al Nasr

Al Ain

Pro League

  • W2-0Khorfakkan22 August 2026

Al Nasr

Pro League

  • W1-0Al Wahda FC21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Al Ain6411127+513
8Al Nasr622287+18

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Al Ain and Al Nasr

Al Ain

GoalsAssists

  • Abdoul Karim Traoré20

Al Nasr

No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.