30 August 2026, 20:30 UTC

Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Major League Soccer prediction & result

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Columbus Crew 1-3 New England Revolution.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Columbus Crew, 29% draw, 36% New England Revolution — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts New England Revolution at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Columbus Crew0%Draw1%New England Revolution99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽B. Mendezassist: M. Farsi
8'
Tarun Karumanchi
25'
32'
⚽M. Polsterassist: M. Fofana
41'
⚽D. Turgemanassist: C. Gil
🔁T. Karumanchiout: C. Ruvalcaba
62'
🔁J. Martinezout: G. Tapia
62'
75'
•Dor Turgeman
78'
Alhassan Yusuf
79'
⚽C. Gilassist: P. Miller
87'
🔁D. Turgemanout: W. Harris
🔁E. Baillyout: A. Herrera
88'
🔁A. Gomesout: D. Chambost
88'
89'
🔁J. Harrisonout: I. Feingold
🔁B. Mendezout: L. Giaccone
90'
90+4'
🔁A. Yusufout: J. Yueill
90+4'
🔁C. Gilout: D. Fagundez

Match stats — Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution

54%Possession46%
7Shots21
1On target11
5Corners5
0.44xG1.35

Goals against chances

Columbus Crew1 from 0.44 xGmore than the chances were worth
New England Revolution3 from 1.35 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Columbus Crew 4-4-2
  • 28P. SchulteG
  • 31S. MoreiraD
  • 3E. BaillyD
  • 25S. ZawadzkiD
  • 18M. AmundsenD
  • 23M. FarsiM
  • 50T. KarumanchiM
  • 20A. GomesM
  • 16T. HabrouneM
  • 10B. MendezF
  • 77J. MartinezF
Substitutes
  • 24E. BushG
  • 1N. HagenG
  • 2A. HerreraD
  • 12C. RuvalcabaD
  • 11B. LennonD
  • 7D. ChambostM
  • 14A. SejdicM
  • 26L. GiacconeM
  • 33G. TapiaF
Coach: Laurent Courtois
New England Revolution 4-1-4-1
  • 30M. TurnerG
  • 8M. PolsterD
  • 22E. KohlerD
  • 2M. FofanaD
  • 23W. SandsD
  • 21B. RainesM
  • 11J. HarrisonM
  • 10C. GilM
  • 80A. YusufM
  • 25P. MillerM
  • 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
  • 73J. GunnG
  • 4T. BeasonD
  • 15C. BakerD
  • 12I. FeingoldD
  • 14J. YueillM
  • 65J. SiqueiraF
  • 77D. FagundezM
  • 7G. YowF
  • 27W. HarrisF
Coach: Marko Mitrovic

Form going into Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution

Columbus Crew

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Nashville SC23 August 2026
  • L1-2CF Montreal19 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Charlotte15 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Inter Miami1 August 2026
  • W2-1FC Cincinnati25 July 2026

New England Revolution

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1New York City FC23 August 2026
  • W3-0away to DC United19 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Toronto FC15 August 2026
  • L0-2Houston Dynamo8 August 2026
  • D2-2away to CF Montreal1 August 2026

What these results say

  • Columbus Crew scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Columbus Crew conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Columbus Crew had three goals or more.
  • New England Revolution failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • New England Revolution scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • New England Revolution conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Columbus Crew32125155249+341
2New England Revolution32184105444+1058

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution

  • 18 April 2026New England Revolution 2–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 23 August 2025Columbus Crew 1–2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 2 March 2025New England Revolution 0–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 12 October 2024Columbus Crew 4–0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 29 June 2024New England Revolution 1–5 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 4 October 2023New England Revolution 1–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

The result against the call

New England Revolution won 3–1 at Columbus Crew. The model had made a win for New England Revolution its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: B. Mendez 8' for Columbus Crew, M. Polster 32' for New England Revolution, D. Turgeman 41' for New England Revolution, C. Gil 79' for New England Revolution. On expected goals it finished 0.44–1.35.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.