29 August 2026, 13:55 UTC

Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra Pro League prediction & result

Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor Fakkan
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Khorfakkan 2-0 Al-Dhafra.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Khorfakkan, 30% draw, 27% Al-Dhafra — fair odds of 2.33, 3.33 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Khorfakkan at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Khorfakkan99%Draw1%Al-Dhafra0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Y. Al Marzouqi
29'
🔁E. Noumonviout: Marcelinho
A. Al Naqbi
39'
⚽A. Jshakassist: L. Haquin
51'
🔁A. Camaraout: J. N'Guessan
60'
🔁A. Dialloout: O. Traore
60'
⚽O. Traoreassist: A. Boa Morte
64'
67'
🔁K. Bawazirout: R. Lushkja
67'
🔁S. Kabaout: Arielson
67'
🔁A. Al Karbiout: M. Alhammadi
🔁A. Boa Morteout: Y. Al Ameri
70'
🔁A. Al Naqbiout: A. Barman
71'
79'
🔁Samir Caetanoout: M. Al Harbi
🔁P. Pavlovout: S. Al Zaabi
88'

Match stats — Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra

39%Possession61%
8Shots12
5On target2
2Corners4

Line-ups

Khorfakkan
  • 1A. Al Hosani
  • 11A. JshakD
  • 3Kayque CamposD
  • 19L. HaquinD
  • 6A. NakachD
  • 16P. Pavlov
  • 10A. Boa MorteM
  • 5A. CamaraM
  • 8A. Al NaqbiM
  • 7J. FlemmingsM
  • 90A. Diallo
Substitutes
  • 95R. SuhailG
  • 50R. AliG
  • 2Y. Al Ameri
  • 34S. SeymorD
  • 17S. Al ZaabiD
  • 79J. N'GuessanM
  • 13A. BarmanM
  • 91O. TraoreM
  • 77R. SarkiF
Coach: Abdelmajeed Al Zarooni
Al-Dhafra
  • 44A. Al SayedG
  • 15A. Al KarbiD
  • 26Y. Al Marzouqi
  • 4Serafim
  • 33Samir Caetano
  • 6E. NoumonviD
  • 14K. BawazirM
  • 88D. MendyM
  • 21R. DjoohM
  • 11M. El KhalouiM
  • 9S. KabaF
Substitutes
  • 1M. S. Zayid
  • 20L. Amesimeku
  • 3D. KoumareD
  • 10R. LushkjaM
  • 5M. Al HarbiM
  • 8Z. MohammedM
  • 7MarcelinhoF
  • 99ArielsonF
  • 77A. Ben Fajria
Coach: Alen Horvat

Form going into Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra

Khorfakkan

Pro League

  • L0-2away to Al Ain22 August 2026

Al-Dhafra

Pro League

  • L0-2away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Khorfakkan6114715-84
10Al-Dhafra6204810-26

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Khorfakkan and Al-Dhafra

Khorfakkan

GoalsAssists

  • J. Flemmings20

Al-Dhafra

GoalsAssists

  • S. Kaba21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.