6 September 2026, 16:15 UTC

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC Pro League prediction & result

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Madinat Zayed
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Al-Dhafra 0-1 Al Wahda FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Al-Dhafra, 31% draw, 32% Al Wahda FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al-Dhafra at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al-Dhafra0%Draw4%Al Wahda FC96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Rostand Delord Menpweh Djooh
12'
🔁Marcelinhoout: Khaled Bawazir
61'
🔁Arielson Sampaio·Galvaoout: Sory Kaba
61'
66'
🔁Asher Agbinoneout: Brahima Diarra
Samir De Souza
67'
74'
Abdulla Hamad
79'
🔁Adam Gnezda Čerinout: Christian Benteke
79'
🔁Moussa Diarraout: Gonalo Moura Oliveira
81'
⚽Facundo Kruspzky
🔁Vinicius Lima Serafimout: Karim El Berkaoui
85'
🔁Dominique Mendyout: Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Alhammadi
88'
89'
🔁Amanallah Mjahedout: Renne Rivas
89'
🔁Omar Kharbinout: Mohammad Ghorbani

Match stats — Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC

36%Possession64%
12Shots11
7On target2
6Corners1

Line-ups

Al-Dhafra 5-4-1
  • 44A. Al SayedG
  • 15Abdullah Al KarbiD
  • 26Yousif AlmarzooqiD
  • 4SerafimD
  • 33S. M. Al Aqel M.D
  • 6E. NoumonviD
  • 7MarcelinhoM
  • 88D. MendyM
  • 21R. DjoohM
  • 11M. El KhalouiM
  • 99ArielsonF
Substitutes
  • 9S. KabaF
  • 3D. KoumareD
  • 16M. AlhammadiF
  • 8Z. MohammedM
  • 20L. AmesimekuD
  • 14Khalid BawazirM
  • 5Mansor Al HarbiM
  • 17Eisa HoutiG
  • 19A. BatalF
Coach: A. Horvat
Al Wahda FC 4-1-4-1
  • 23F. LirussiG
  • 5A. ZouhirD
  • 3Lucas PimentaD
  • 44M. DiarraD
  • 35A. MajhedD
  • 25Jadsom SilvaM
  • 19A. AgbinoneM
  • 12Abdulla HamadM
  • 8A. ČerinM
  • 11F. KruspzkyM
  • 70Omar KhribinF
Substitutes
  • 36Zayed AhmedG
  • 2S. MansourD
  • 64Rashed IssamD
  • 20C. BentekeF
  • 94B. DiarraM
  • 6M. GhorbaniM
  • 32Gonçalo Moura OliveiraD
  • 38Arnau PradasF
  • 22Renné RivasD
Coach: Péricles Chamusca

Form going into Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC

Al-Dhafra

Pro League

  • L0-2away to Khorfakkan29 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai22 August 2026

Al Wahda FC

Pro League

  • W2-1Baniyas SC30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Al Nasr21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Al-Dhafra6204810-26
5Al Wahda FC640297+212

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Al-Dhafra and Al Wahda FC

Al-Dhafra

GoalsAssists

  • S. Kaba21

Al Wahda FC

No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al Wahda FC won 1–0 at Al-Dhafra. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Dhafra at 37% and given a win for Al Wahda FC 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Facundo Kruspzky 81' for Al Wahda FC.

How the call on Al-Dhafra v Al Wahda FC has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 35% / 32% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 37% / 31% / 32%: the biggest move is Al-Dhafra's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Al-Dhafra win37%▲ +2
  2. Draw31%▼ −1
  3. Al Wahda FC win32%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.