Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Kaizer Chiefs 3-2 Siwelele.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Kaizer Chiefs, 27% draw, 30% Siwelele — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kaizer Chiefs at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1B. PetersenG
- 4Z. KwinikaD
- 84Inacio MiguelD
- 42T. MoloisaneD
- 18D. SolomonsM
- 8S. NdlovuM
- 6L. MaboeM
- 13P. MmodiM
- 28M. VilakaziF
- 47W. DubaF
- 7M. ShabalalaF
- 16R. LeanerG
- 39R. FroslerD
- 48B. CrossD
- 23E. ChislettM
- 22A. Bitegeko
- 5S. MthethwaM
- 11L. BaartmanF
- 35F. AbrahamsM
- 50E. IghodaroF
- 30S. XuluG
- 2Y. MfoloziD
- 4T. SesaneD
- 33S. NdebeleD
- 29A. BalitiD
- 8R. MokhuoaneM
- 26S. KobediM
- 10M. PuleM
- 17S. JezaF
- 19H. IssahF
- 20B. ThuloF
- 1J. FebruaryG
- 5K. KhonyaneD
- 80N. NgcoboD
- 7N. MokhachaneM
- 6S. RasebotjaM
- 21B. SabreM
- 16T. PotsaneM
- 12M. MazibukoM
- 28M. N'GuessanM
Form going into Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele
Kaizer Chiefs
Premier Soccer League
- D2-2away to Richards Bay26 August 2026
Siwelele
Premier Soccer League
- D1-1Chippa United25 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 14 | Siwelele | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Kaizer Chiefs and Siwelele
Kaizer Chiefs
GoalsAssists
- M. Shabalala21
Siwelele
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kaizer Chiefs beat Siwelele 3–2. The model had made a win for Kaizer Chiefs its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Vilakazi 30' for Kaizer Chiefs, W. Duba 65' for Kaizer Chiefs, A. Baliti 68' for Siwelele, S. Xulu (own goal) 76' for Kaizer Chiefs, M. N'Guessan 90' for Siwelele. On expected goals it finished 0.87–0.71.
How the call on Kaizer Chiefs v Siwelele has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 43% / 27% / 30%: the biggest move is Kaizer Chiefs's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Kaizer Chiefs win43%▲ +2
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Siwelele win30%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.