Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Riyadh Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0 Al Riyadh.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Al Khaleej Saihat, 28% draw, 27% Al Riyadh — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Khaleej Saihat at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Riyadh
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 49A. MorisG
- 39S. Al HamsalD
- 4K. KouyateD
- 3M. Al KhabraniD
- 5P. RebochoD
- 8O. MascarellM
- 18N. Al SaadiM
- 12M. KanabahM
- 19M. CrespoM
- 10A. FulginiM
- 90T. Al KhaibriF
- 96M. Al HaidariG
- 13A. AsiriD
- 17A. Al HafithD
- 14A. Al ShaafiD
- 29R. Al ShanqitiD
- 15M. HamziF
- 99M. BarrowF
- 28H. Al EisaF
- 11S. Al AmriF
- 82M. BorjanG
- 2S. Al EssaD
- 67M. Al KhaibariD
- 26R. AbascalD
- 12S. HazaziD
- 6K. KeitaM
- 10T. OkouM
- 22V. LekhalM
- 19H. Al ShurafaM
- 14H. A. Bahri E.M
- 7TrezeguetF
- 97E. FidaG
- 5H. MajrashiD
- 13O. Al BoardiD
- 16F. Al SobhiM
- 79F. Al JayzaniM
- 11H. Al Ali
- 17H. Al RaqwaniF
- 29S. MatarM
- 24A. Al TaleM
Form going into Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Riyadh
Al Khaleej Saihat
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to NEOM3 September 2026
Al Riyadh
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to Al-Ahli Jeddah4 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Khaleej Saihat and Al Riyadh
Al Khaleej Saihat
GoalsAssists
- J. King50
Al Riyadh
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al Riyadh drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Khaleej Saihat at 45% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.50–0.32.
How the call on Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is Al Khaleej Saihat's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Al Khaleej Saihat win45%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Al Riyadh win27%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.