31 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Inter Turku vs KuPS Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Veritas Stadion, Turku
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Inter Turku 1-0 KuPS.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Inter Turku, 29% draw, 27% KuPS — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Inter Turku at 44% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Inter Turku4%Draw93%KuPS3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Bismark Ampofo
45'
🔁J. Tuominenout: J. Yli-Kokko
46'
50'
Petteri Pennanen
55'
🔁J. J. Moreno Ciorciariout: P. Parzyszek
58'
Brahima Magassa
68'
🔁S. Tourayout: V. R. Gasc
69'
🔁J. Luyeye-Lutumbaout: A. Aiki
Janne-Pekka Laine
73'
🔁B. Ampofoout: P. Ahiabu
74'
🔁H. Sjogrellout: M. Suso
74'
83'
🔁J. Eskesenout: S. Pasanen
⚽M. Suso
90'

Line-ups

Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. HuuhtanenG
  • 5A. GranlundD
  • 6R. IvanovD
  • 22L. KuittinenD
  • 2J. NiskaD
  • 17B. AmpofoM
  • 14J. LaineM
  • 7H. SjogrellM
  • 9J. TuominenM
  • 16C. JephtaF
  • 10A. Conteh
Substitutes
  • 12E. VuorjokiG
  • 30Y. AmankwahD
  • 18S. SaarinenD
  • 4P. AhiabuM
  • 8J. Yli-KokkoM
  • 19I. JarvinenM
  • 11J. BotueF
  • 34L. ProkopF
  • 33M. SusoM
Coach: Vesa-Pekka Vasara
KuPS 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. KreidlG
  • 29A. PuukkoD
  • 4K. AdamsD
  • 28B. MagassaD
  • 25C. AntwiD
  • 8P. PennanenM
  • 22S. TourayM
  • 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaM
  • 16T. JyryM
  • 34J. EskesenM
  • 11J. J. Moreno CiorciariF
Substitutes
  • 12H. RiihimakiG
  • 6S. SavolainenD
  • 33T. HamalainenD
  • 23A. LotjonenD
  • 10V. R. GascM
  • 14S. PasanenM
  • 13N. KujasaloM
  • 15A. AikiF
  • 20P. ParzyszekF
Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Form going into Inter Turku vs KuPS

Inter Turku

  • D0-0away to Turku PS23 August 2026

KuPS

  • L2-4Mariehamn23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Inter Turku2513933218+1448
1KuPS2513934124+1748

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Inter Turku vs KuPS

  • 30 May 2026KuPS 1–1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
  • 2 November 2025KuPS 3–2 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
  • 5 October 2025Inter Turku 0–3 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • 17 August 2025KuPS 2–1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
  • 5 April 2025Inter Turku 1–1 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • 21 September 2024Inter Turku 1–2 KuPSSuomen Cup

Leading scorers: Inter Turku and KuPS

Inter Turku

  • H. Sjögrell6 goals1 assist
  • J. Yli-Kokko2 goals1 assist

KuPS

  • J. Moreno5 goals
  • J. Luyeye-Lutumba3 goals1 assist
  • B. Armah3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.