AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: AB Copenhagen 2-0 Aarhus Fremad.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% AB Copenhagen, 31% draw, 30% Aarhus Fremad — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 1. Division (Denmark) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AB Copenhagen at 39% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad
AB Copenhagen
- W3-0Esbjerg19 September 2026
- L0-1away to Hillerød12 September 2026
- L0-2Aalborg5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Kolding IF29 August 2026
Aarhus Fremad
- L1-3Hvidovre19 September 2026
- D0-0away to Vendsyssel FF11 September 2026
- W2-1Kolding IF6 September 2026
- D0-0Vejle30 August 2026
What these results say
- AB Copenhagen failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- AB Copenhagen conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Aarhus Fremad failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AB Copenhagen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad
- 9 October 2026AB Copenhagen 2–0 Aarhus Fremad1. Division
- 24 May 2025Aarhus Fremad 1–2 AB Copenhagen2. Division
- 19 April 2025AB Copenhagen 0–2 Aarhus Fremad2. Division
- 12 April 2025Aarhus Fremad 3–1 AB Copenhagen2. Division
- 23 August 2024AB Copenhagen 3–2 Aarhus Fremad2. Division
- 7 June 2024AB Copenhagen 5–3 Aarhus Fremad2. Division
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.