Hillerød vs FC Fredericia 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Hillerød 0-2 FC Fredericia.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Hillerød, 27% draw, 42% FC Fredericia — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 1. Division (Denmark) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Fredericia at 42% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Hillerød vs FC Fredericia
Hillerød
- D1-1away to Kolding IF18 September 2026
- W1-0AB Copenhagen12 September 2026
- D1-1away to HB Koge4 September 2026
- W3-1Hobro30 August 2026
FC Fredericia
- D2-2Vejle20 September 2026
- D0-0away to Kolding IF12 September 2026
- W1-0Esbjerg5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Hvidovre30 August 2026
What these results say
- Hillerød went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Hillerød scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hillerød conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Fredericia failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Fredericia scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hillerød | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hillerød vs FC Fredericia
- 10 October 2026Hillerød 0–2 FC Fredericia1. Division
- 7 March 2025FC Fredericia 0–2 Hillerød1. Division
- 23 September 2024Hillerød 0–3 FC Fredericia1. Division
- 20 October 2023Hillerød 1–1 FC Fredericia1. Division
- 11 August 2023FC Fredericia 3–2 Hillerød1. Division
- 26 May 2023FC Fredericia 4–0 Hillerød1. Division
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.