- FK Crvena Zvezda — 22 points from 8 played (7 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 19 scored, 2 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
- Vojvodina — 21 points from 9 played (7 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost), 20 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
- Radnicki 1923 — 14 points from 8 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W D D W.
- IMT Novi Beograd — 14 points from 9 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D L W D L.
- Radnik Surdulica — 13 points from 9 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W L W D D.
- Mladost Lucani — 13 points from 9 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
- Novi Pazar — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 8 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W L D W D.
- Železničar Pančevo — 11 points from 7 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 11 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D L W L W.
- Cukaricki — 11 points from 9 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 11 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W L L L D.
- OFK Beograd — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 10 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.
- Radnicki NIS — 8 points from 8 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 6 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D L W.
- Macva — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 5 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
- FK Partizan — 7 points from 8 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 13 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
- Zemun — 2 points from 9 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 4 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
What moved
Measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped. 11 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.
- Radnik Surdulica — bottom-three risk down 4.2, to 16.6%.
- Zemun — bottom-three risk down 1, to 96.1%.
- Radnicki NIS — bottom-three risk up 0.9, to 34.7%.
- Macva — bottom-three risk up 0.8, to 41.8%.
- OFK Beograd — bottom-three risk up 0.8, to 33.8%.
Season projection
Every one of the 122 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Championship Group, Relegation Group follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed.
- FK Crvena Zvezda — projected to finish on 54.6 points, from 22 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 69%, finishes top four 99.5%, bottom three 0%.
- Vojvodina — projected to finish on 50.3 points, from 21 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 26.7%, finishes top four 96.5%, bottom three 0%.
- Radnicki 1923 — projected to finish on 42 points, from 14 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.7%, finishes top four 65.4%, bottom three 0.7%.
- IMT Novi Beograd — projected to finish on 39 points, from 14 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.7%, finishes top four 42.2%, bottom three 2.7%.
- Železničar Pančevo — projected to finish on 37.2 points, from 11 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5%, finishes top four 29.9%, bottom three 6.3%.
- Novi Pazar — projected to finish on 34.8 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 14.7%, bottom three 11.7%.
- Mladost Lucani — projected to finish on 34.2 points, from 13 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 11%, bottom three 15%.
- Radnik Surdulica — projected to finish on 33.8 points, from 13 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 10.6%, bottom three 16.6%.
- Cukaricki — projected to finish on 33.3 points, from 11 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 9.3%, bottom three 19.8%.
- FK Partizan — projected to finish on 32.9 points, from 7 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 9.8%, bottom three 20.8%.
- OFK Beograd — projected to finish on 30.9 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 4.2%, bottom three 33.8%.
- Radnicki NIS — projected to finish on 30.7 points, from 8 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 4.3%, bottom three 34.7%.
- Macva — projected to finish on 30 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.8%, bottom three 41.8%.
- Zemun — projected to finish on 19.2 points, from 2 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 96.1%.
Top scorers
- D. Zukić (Vojvodina) — 5 goals.
- N. Mulahusejnović (Vojvodina) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
- V. Kostov (FK Crvena Zvezda) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
- Y. Silue (OFK Beograd) — 4 goals.
- U. Miladinović (Cukaricki) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
- L. Ranđelović (Vojvodina) — 3 goals, 6 assists.
- K. Kwaku (Železničar Pančevo) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
- M. Cissé (Radnicki 1923) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
- Vasil Tasovski (Mladost Lucani) — 3 goals.
- João (Mladost Lucani) — 3 goals.
- M. Vidakov (Macva) — 3 goals.
- V. Bogdanović (Radnik Surdulica) — 3 goals.
- T. Cojic (IMT Novi Beograd) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
- E. Kojzek (FK Partizan) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
- K. Dixon (Novi Pazar) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
- M. Kolarevic (Vojvodina) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- P. Sukacev (Vojvodina) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- C. Keita (IMT Novi Beograd) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- M. Novaković (Radnik Surdulica) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- D. Kokanović (Vojvodina) — 2 goals, 1 assist.