Bundesliga (Germany)

1. Bayern München — 17 points from 7 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 25 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +19. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
2. Borussia Dortmund — 17 points from 7 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 12 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W W D D W.
3. SC Freiburg — 13 points from 7 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 16 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W D W L L.
4. Bayer Leverkusen — 13 points from 7 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 16 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D W W W L.
5. RB Leipzig — 12 points from 7 played (4 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost), 20 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W L W L W.
6. Werder Bremen — 12 points from 7 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D W D D W.
7. FSV Mainz 05 — 10 points from 7 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
8. SV Elversberg — 10 points from 7 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L D L W L.
9. FC Augsburg — 9 points from 7 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 17 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D L D L D.
10. 1899 Hoffenheim — 9 points from 7 played (3 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W L L W W.
11. Hamburger SV — 9 points from 7 played (3 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost), 6 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L W W W L.
12. 1. FC Köln — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 8 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L W L D.
13. SC Paderborn 07 — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L W L D W.
14. Eintracht Frankfurt — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: W D L W L.
15. VfB Stuttgart — 6 points from 7 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost), 10 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
16. FC Schalke 04 — 6 points from 7 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 4 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D L L D.
17. Union Berlin — 6 points from 7 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L L W D D.
18. Borussia Mönchengladbach — 3 points from 7 played (1 won, 0 drawn, 6 lost), 11 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L L L W.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-30, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 17 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• 1. FC Köln — bottom-three risk down 8.2, to 36.3%.
• Union Berlin — bottom-three risk up 7.2, to 49.8%.
• Hamburger SV — bottom-three risk up 4.4, to 39.3%.
• FC Schalke 04 — bottom-three risk down 2.7, to 33.4%.
• FSV Mainz 05 — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk down 1.8, to 8.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 243 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-30, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Bayern München — projected to finish on 80.2 points, from 17 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 74.2% (down 0.3), finishes top four 99.2%, bottom two 0%.
2. Borussia Dortmund — projected to finish on 71 points, from 17 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.6%, finishes top four 91.5%, bottom two 0%.
3. Bayer Leverkusen — projected to finish on 62.7 points, from 13 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.3% (up 0.2), finishes top four 63.6%, bottom two 0%.
4. RB Leipzig — projected to finish on 62.1 points, from 12 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3% (down 1), finishes top four 63.6%, bottom two 0%.
5. SC Freiburg — projected to finish on 57.9 points, from 13 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.5% (up 0.8), finishes top four 41.7%, bottom two 0.1%.
6. Werder Bremen — projected to finish on 46.4 points, from 12 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 5.9%, bottom two 2.6%.
7. FC Augsburg — projected to finish on 46.3 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 7.2%, bottom two 2.9%.
8. VfB Stuttgart — projected to finish on 46.3 points, from 6 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 8.2%, bottom two 3.2%.
9. 1899 Hoffenheim — projected to finish on 45.3 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 6.2%, bottom two 4.9%.
10. Eintracht Frankfurt — projected to finish on 44.5 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 4%, bottom two 5.3%.
11. FSV Mainz 05 — projected to finish on 44.2 points, from 10 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 4.7%, bottom two 4.6%.
12. SV Elversberg — projected to finish on 43.7 points, from 10 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.8%, bottom two 5.3%.
13. SC Paderborn 07 — projected to finish on 36.1 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom two 19.4%.
14. Hamburger SV — projected to finish on 35.1 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.4%, bottom two 26.6%.
15. 1. FC Köln — projected to finish on 35.1 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom two 25.1%.
16. FC Schalke 04 — projected to finish on 35.1 points, from 6 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom two 20.1%.
17. Union Berlin — projected to finish on 32.8 points, from 6 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom two 36.8%.
18. Borussia Mönchengladbach — projected to finish on 31.1 points, from 3 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom two 43%.

Top scorers

1. N. Füllkrug (Werder Bremen) — 8 goals.
2. M. Olise (Bayern München) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
3. P. Schick (Bayer Leverkusen) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
4. Y. Ebnoutalib (Eintracht Frankfurt) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
5. P. Tietz (FSV Mainz 05) — 5 goals.
6. C. Nkunku (RB Leipzig) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
7. L. Díaz (Bayern München) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
8. Y. Suzuki (SC Freiburg) — 4 goals.
9. H. Kane (Bayern München) — 4 goals, 5 assists.
10. M. Gregoritsch (FC Augsburg) — 4 goals.
11. A. Nusa (RB Leipzig) — 3 goals, 5 assists.
12. A. Caci (FSV Mainz 05) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
13. T. Gomis (RB Leipzig) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
14. M. Krattenmacher (SV Elversberg) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
15. J. Scally (Borussia Mönchengladbach) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
16. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
17. J. Burkardt (Eintracht Frankfurt) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
18. E. Demirović (VfB Stuttgart) — 3 goals.
19. R. Fellhauer (FC Augsburg) — 3 goals.
20. M. Eggestein (SC Freiburg) — 3 goals.