2. Bundesliga

1. Hertha BSC — 25 points from 9 played (8 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 20 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
2. 1. FC Nürnberg — 18 points from 9 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 21 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W D D L.
3. 1. FC Kaiserslautern — 18 points from 9 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 9 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L W D W W.
4. VfL Wolfsburg — 16 points from 9 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 23 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: L W D W D.
5. 1. FC Magdeburg — 16 points from 9 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 20 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W D W L W.
6. 1. FC Heidenheim — 15 points from 9 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 16 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W D D L D.
7. Arminia Bielefeld — 14 points from 10 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 16 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D W W L W.
8. FC St. Pauli — 12 points from 9 played (2 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost), 11 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W D W D D.
9. VfL Osnabrück — 11 points from 9 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L D D L W.
10. VfL Bochum — 11 points from 10 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 8 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L L D W.
11. Energie Cottbus — 10 points from 10 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 18 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D D L.
12. Eintracht Braunschweig — 10 points from 10 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 16 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
13. SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D D L W L.
14. Holstein Kiel — 8 points from 9 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L D L D W.
15. Dynamo Dresden — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 11 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: D L D W L.
16. Hannover 96 — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 8 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.
17. Karlsruher SC — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 11 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L L W L.
18. SV Darmstadt 98 — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 8 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-30, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 18 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• VfL Bochum — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk down 16.4, to 16.2%.
• Energie Cottbus — chance of finishing top down 0.3, to 0.2%; bottom-three risk up 15.5, to 26.5%.
• Eintracht Braunschweig — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 0%; bottom-three risk up 9.4, to 30.8%.
• Hertha BSC — chance of finishing top up 8.3, to 47.8%.
• Arminia Bielefeld — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 1%; bottom-three risk down 5.6, to 5.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 223 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-30, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Hertha BSC — projected to finish on 68.1 points, from 25 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 47.8% (up 8.3), finishes top two 68.6%, bottom two 0%.
2. VfL Wolfsburg — projected to finish on 60.7 points, from 16 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 18.7% (down 3.7), finishes top two 38.1%, bottom two 0%.
3. 1. FC Kaiserslautern — projected to finish on 58.6 points, from 18 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 9.2% (down 0.9), finishes top two 23.9%, bottom two 0%.
4. 1. FC Nürnberg — projected to finish on 58.3 points, from 18 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 11% (down 2), finishes top two 27.3%, bottom two 0.1%.
5. 1. FC Magdeburg — projected to finish on 55.5 points, from 16 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.8% (down 3.6), finishes top two 18.9%, bottom two 0.4%.
6. 1. FC Heidenheim — projected to finish on 51.1 points, from 15 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.5% (up 1.5), finishes top two 8.2%, bottom two 1.2%.
7. FC St. Pauli — projected to finish on 50.4 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.9% (up 0.7), finishes top two 5.5%, bottom two 0.9%.
8. Arminia Bielefeld — projected to finish on 48.8 points, from 14 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1% (up 0.2), finishes top two 4.4%, bottom two 2.9%.
9. VfL Osnabrück — projected to finish on 44.8 points, from 11 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6%, finishes top two 2.1%, bottom two 6.7%.
10. VfL Bochum — projected to finish on 42.1 points, from 11 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top two 0.6%, bottom two 9.4%.
11. Holstein Kiel — projected to finish on 40.2 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 0.2), finishes top two 0.4%, bottom two 12.7%.
12. Hannover 96 — projected to finish on 40.2 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom two 15.5%.
13. Energie Cottbus — projected to finish on 40 points, from 10 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (down 0.3), finishes top two 0.8%, bottom two 17.1%.
14. SpVgg Greuther Fürth — projected to finish on 39.8 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top two 0.4%, bottom two 17.3%.
15. Dynamo Dresden — projected to finish on 38.9 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.4%, bottom two 20.9%.
16. Eintracht Braunschweig — projected to finish on 38.4 points, from 10 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top two 0.2%, bottom two 19.8%.
17. SV Darmstadt 98 — projected to finish on 35.1 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom two 35.5%.
18. Karlsruher SC — projected to finish on 34.6 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom two 39.5%.

Top scorers

1. M. Zoma (1. FC Nürnberg) — 7 goals.
2. F. Klaus (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
3. E. Iyoha (1. FC Magdeburg) — 6 goals.
4. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
5. J. Butler (Energie Cottbus) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
6. P. Harres (Holstein Kiel) — 5 goals, 3 assists.
7. J. Grodowski (Arminia Bielefeld) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
8. R. Glatzel (VfL Wolfsburg) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
9. J. Brekalo (Hertha BSC) — 5 goals, 5 assists.
10. M. Żukowski (1. FC Magdeburg) — 5 goals.
11. A. Bernhardsson (VfL Wolfsburg) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
12. Jan Urbich (Eintracht Braunschweig) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
13. Abdoulie Ceesay (FC St. Pauli) — 4 goals.
14. F. Reese (VfL Wolfsburg) — 4 goals, 6 assists.
15. R. Meißner (VfL Osnabrück) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
16. T. Ciğerci (Energie Cottbus) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
17. A. Marhiev (1. FC Nürnberg) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
18. S. Fukuda (Karlsruher SC) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
19. J. Þorsteinsson (Hertha BSC) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
20. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg) — 3 goals, 1 assist.