First League

1. Levski Sofia — 25 points from 9 played (8 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 21 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
2. Ludogorets — 23 points from 9 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 16 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W D D W W.
3. CSKA Sofia — 20 points from 8 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 21 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
4. CSKA 1948 — 19 points from 9 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 17 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W L W L W.
5. Arda Kardzhali — 16 points from 9 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 14 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W W L L.
6. Botev Plovdiv — 13 points from 9 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L L W W.
7. Slavia Sofia — 11 points from 9 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D D L W D.
8. Spartak Varna — 10 points from 9 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L D D D.
9. Botev Vratsa — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 7 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L W L W D.
10. Septemvri Sofia — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 8 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: W W D L L.
11. Lokomotiv Plovdiv — 6 points from 9 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 7 lost), 4 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L L L W L.
12. Cherno More Varna — 5 points from 9 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 10 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L W L L D.
13. Lokomotiv Sofia — 4 points from 8 played (0 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 10 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
14. Dunav Ruse — 4 points from 9 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost), 8 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: W L D L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 13 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Ludogorets — chance of finishing top up 4.8, to 9.3%.
• Levski Sofia — chance of finishing top down 3.3, to 69.7%.
• CSKA Sofia — chance of finishing top down 1.2, to 16.9%.
• Botev Vratsa — bottom-three risk down 0.6, to 36.1%.
• Lokomotiv Plovdiv — bottom-three risk up 0.5, to 51.8%.

Season projection

Every one of the 120 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Relegation Group, Championship Group, Conference League Group, and on from there follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Levski Sofia — projected to finish on 56.1 points, from 25 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 69.7% (down 3.3), finishes top four 99.1%, bottom three 0%.
2. CSKA Sofia — projected to finish on 49.6 points, from 20 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.9% (down 1.2), finishes top four 89.8%, bottom three 0%.
3. Ludogorets — projected to finish on 47.9 points, from 23 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 9.3% (up 4.8), finishes top four 81.1%, bottom three 0%.
4. CSKA 1948 — projected to finish on 43.5 points, from 19 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.6% (down 0.2), finishes top four 53.4%, bottom three 0%.
5. Arda Kardzhali — projected to finish on 41.7 points, from 16 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.1% (down 0.1), finishes top four 39.5%, bottom three 0.2%.
6. Botev Plovdiv — projected to finish on 39.2 points, from 13 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4%, finishes top four 22.5%, bottom three 0.8%.
7. Slavia Sofia — projected to finish on 35.6 points, from 11 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 8.8%, bottom three 2.8%.
8. Spartak Varna — projected to finish on 33.9 points, from 10 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 4.1%, bottom three 6.5%.
9. Lokomotiv Sofia — projected to finish on 29.1 points, from 4 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.8%, bottom three 25.6%.
10. Botev Vratsa — projected to finish on 27.9 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 36.1%.
11. Septemvri Sofia — projected to finish on 26.5 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 47%.
12. Lokomotiv Plovdiv — projected to finish on 25.6 points, from 6 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 51.8%.
13. Dunav Ruse — projected to finish on 24.5 points, from 4 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 60.1%.
14. Cherno More Varna — projected to finish on 23.4 points, from 5 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 69.2%.

Top scorers

1. Frédéric Maciel (CSKA 1948) — 1 goal.
2. Álex Centelles (Levski Sofia) — 0 goals.
3. André Filipe Rio Liberal (Septemvri Sofia) — 0 goals.
4. Boubacar Hanne (Spartak Varna) — 0 goals.
5. Tomás Silva (Spartak Varna) — 0 goals.
6. Serginho (Levski Sofia) — 0 goals.
7. José Ricardo Gomes Sousa (Spartak Varna) — 0 goals.