First League

1. CSKA Sofia — 30 points from 12 played (9 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 29 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +20. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
2. Levski Sofia — 29 points from 11 played (9 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 24 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +19. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
3. CSKA 1948 — 28 points from 13 played (9 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 31 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
4. Ludogorets — 26 points from 11 played (8 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 21 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: D W W W L.
5. Botev Plovdiv — 22 points from 13 played (7 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 22 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W W L W.
6. Arda Kardzhali — 18 points from 12 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 16 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
7. Spartak Varna — 13 points from 13 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 12 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: D L W L L.
8. Slavia Sofia — 12 points from 12 played (2 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost), 9 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W D L L D.
9. Dunav Ruse — 11 points from 12 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 15 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L L D W W.
10. Botev Vratsa — 10 points from 12 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 10 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: W D D L D.
11. Lokomotiv Plovdiv — 9 points from 12 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 6 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: W L D D D.
12. Lokomotiv Sofia — 9 points from 13 played (1 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost), 15 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
13. Cherno More Varna — 9 points from 12 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 13 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L D D L W.
14. Septemvri Sofia — 8 points from 12 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 10 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-30, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 14 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Lokomotiv Sofia — bottom-three risk up 9.6, to 40.7%.
• Lokomotiv Plovdiv — bottom-three risk down 9.4, to 36%.
• Spartak Varna — bottom-three risk up 6.4, to 35.7%.
• CSKA Sofia — chance of finishing top down 5.3, to 25.8%.
• Levski Sofia — chance of finishing top up 3.1, to 56%.

Season projection

Every one of the 97 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Relegation Group, Championship Group, Conference League Group, and on from there follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-30, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Levski Sofia — projected to finish on 60.2 points, from 29 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 56% (up 3.1), finishes top four 99.8%, bottom three 0%.
2. CSKA Sofia — projected to finish on 56.7 points, from 30 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 25.8% (down 5.3), finishes top four 98.3%, bottom three 0%.
3. Ludogorets — projected to finish on 54.6 points, from 26 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 14.6% (up 0.9), finishes top four 95.8%, bottom three 0%.
4. CSKA 1948 — projected to finish on 50.8 points, from 28 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.6% (up 1.3), finishes top four 88.6%, bottom three 0%.
5. Botev Plovdiv — projected to finish on 41 points, from 22 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 12.6%, bottom three 0%.
6. Arda Kardzhali — projected to finish on 38.2 points, from 18 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 4.8%, bottom three 0.5%.
7. Slavia Sofia — projected to finish on 29.3 points, from 12 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 11%.
8. Dunav Ruse — projected to finish on 27.1 points, from 11 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 23.7%.
9. Botev Vratsa — projected to finish on 25.6 points, from 10 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 34.7%.
10. Spartak Varna — projected to finish on 25.4 points, from 13 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 35.7%.
11. Lokomotiv Plovdiv — projected to finish on 24.9 points, from 9 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 36%.
12. Cherno More Varna — projected to finish on 24.7 points, from 9 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 39.1%.
13. Lokomotiv Sofia — projected to finish on 24.4 points, from 9 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 40.7%.
14. Septemvri Sofia — projected to finish on 19.6 points, from 8 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 78.5%.

Top scorers

1. Frédéric Maciel (CSKA 1948) — 3 goals.
2. Bruno Jordão (CSKA Sofia) — 2 goals.
3. Elias Franco (CSKA 1948) — 2 goals.
4. B. Tekpetey (Ludogorets) — 2 goals.
5. Rwan Cruz (Ludogorets) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
6. André Filipe Rio Liberal (Septemvri Sofia) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
7. B. Karagaren (Arda Kardzhali) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
8. S. Delev (Lokomotiv Sofia) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
9. I. Budinov (Dunav Ruse) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
10. Georg Stojanovski (Spartak Varna) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
11. F. Herard (Septemvri Sofia) — 1 goal.
12. S. Kovachev (Arda Kardzhali) — 1 goal.
13. D. Kostadinov (Lokomotiv Sofia) — 1 goal.
14. A. Kabov (Arda Kardzhali) — 1 goal.
15. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia) — 1 goal.
16. A. Iliev (CSKA 1948) — 1 goal.
17. Andre Alves (Dunav Ruse) — 1 goal.
18. A. Dzhamov (Septemvri Sofia) — 1 goal.
19. J. Tshitoku (Spartak Varna) — 1 goal.
20. C. Meotti (Botev Plovdiv) — 1 goal.