Serie B (Brazil)

1. Juventude — 56 points from 31 played (16 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost), 35 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +16. Form, oldest first: W L L W W.
2. Vila Nova — 54 points from 30 played (16 won, 6 drawn, 8 lost), 43 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: L W D W W.
3. Novorizontino — 54 points from 31 played (15 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost), 52 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +25. Form, oldest first: W D L D W.
4. Criciuma — 53 points from 31 played (15 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost), 33 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: L L L W W.
5. Fortaleza EC — 53 points from 31 played (14 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost), 36 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W D W D D.
6. Atletico Goianiense — 49 points from 30 played (13 won, 10 drawn, 7 lost), 37 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: D W W L W.
7. CRB — 48 points from 31 played (14 won, 6 drawn, 11 lost), 46 scored, 44 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
8. Operario-PR — 48 points from 31 played (13 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost), 43 scored, 41 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W D W D L.
9. Sport Recife — 47 points from 31 played (12 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost), 42 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W L W L W.
10. São Bernardo — 45 points from 31 played (12 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost), 43 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: L W W D W.
11. Cuiaba — 43 points from 30 played (10 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost), 30 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L W D W L.
12. Goias — 42 points from 31 played (12 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost), 30 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L W W L L.
13. Nautico Recife — 42 points from 31 played (11 won, 9 drawn, 11 lost), 39 scored, 38 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L D L W D.
14. Athletic Club MG — 42 points from 31 played (10 won, 12 drawn, 9 lost), 37 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
15. Ceara — 36 points from 30 played (9 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost), 33 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W L D W D.
16. Botafogo SP — 35 points from 30 played (9 won, 8 drawn, 13 lost), 34 scored, 36 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L L D W.
17. Avai — 30 points from 30 played (8 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost), 30 scored, 41 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.
18. Londrina — 28 points from 31 played (7 won, 7 drawn, 17 lost), 39 scored, 45 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W W L L L.
19. America Mineiro — 17 points from 30 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 21 lost), 21 scored, 50 conceded, goal difference -29. Form, oldest first: L W L L L.
20. Ponte Preta — 13 points from 30 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 23 lost), 17 scored, 64 conceded, goal difference -47. Form, oldest first: L L L W L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-03, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 10 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Botafogo SP — bottom-three risk up 2.3, to 8.3%.
• Avai — bottom-three risk down 1.6, to 28%.
• Atletico Goianiense — title chance up 1.2, to 3.1%.
• Londrina — bottom-three risk down 0.9, to 63.3%.
• Juventude — title chance down 0.6, to 39.5%.

Season projection

Every one of the 74 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-10-03, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Juventude — projected to finish on 68.4 points, from 56 after 31 played. Wins it 39.5% (down 0.6), finishes top four 90.8%, bottom three 0%.
2. Novorizontino — projected to finish on 66.6 points, from 54 after 31 played. Wins it 25.9% (down 0.1), finishes top four 80.9%, bottom three 0%.
3. Fortaleza EC — projected to finish on 66.1 points, from 53 after 31 played. Wins it 15.7% (down 0.4), finishes top four 73.5%, bottom three 0%.
4. Vila Nova — projected to finish on 64.6 points, from 54 after 30 played. Wins it 12.6% (down 0.1), finishes top four 54.6%, bottom three 0%.
5. Criciuma — projected to finish on 62.9 points, from 53 after 31 played. Wins it 2.5% (down 0.2), finishes top four 34.8%, bottom three 0%.
6. Atletico Goianiense — projected to finish on 62.1 points, from 49 after 30 played. Wins it 3.1% (up 1.2), finishes top four 33.9%, bottom three 0%.
7. Operario-PR — projected to finish on 59.8 points, from 48 after 31 played. Wins it 0.4% (up 0.2), finishes top four 12.2%, bottom three 0%.
8. Sport Recife — projected to finish on 58.4 points, from 47 after 31 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top four 9.8%, bottom three 0%.
9. CRB — projected to finish on 57.9 points, from 48 after 31 played. Wins it 0.1%, finishes top four 6.2%, bottom three 0%.
10. Cuiaba — projected to finish on 55.7 points, from 43 after 30 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.9%, bottom three 0%.
11. São Bernardo — projected to finish on 54.7 points, from 45 after 31 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.3%, bottom three 0%.
12. Nautico Recife — projected to finish on 51.2 points, from 42 after 31 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 0.1%.
13. Goias — projected to finish on 51.1 points, from 42 after 31 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
14. Athletic Club MG — projected to finish on 51.1 points, from 42 after 31 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 0%.
15. Ceara — projected to finish on 50.7 points, from 36 after 30 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0.2%.
16. Botafogo SP — projected to finish on 43.8 points, from 35 after 30 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 8.3%.
17. Avai — projected to finish on 40.6 points, from 30 after 30 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 28%.
18. Londrina — projected to finish on 37.1 points, from 28 after 31 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 63.3%.
19. America Mineiro — projected to finish on 23.1 points, from 17 after 30 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 100%.
20. Ponte Preta — projected to finish on 15.8 points, from 13 after 30 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 100%.

Top scorers

1. Mikael (CRB) — 15 goals, 4 assists.
2. Robson (Novorizontino) — 14 goals, 5 assists.
3. Boschilia (Operario-PR) — 13 goals, 4 assists.
4. Gustavo Coutinho (Atletico Goianiense) — 13 goals.
5. Perotti (Sport Recife) — 11 goals, 1 assist.
6. Bruno Santos (Londrina) — 11 goals, 3 assists.
7. Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife) — 11 goals, 3 assists.
8. Kadu (Goias) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
9. Everton Morelli (Botafogo SP) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
10. André Luís (Vila Nova) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
11. Vinícius (Nautico Recife) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
12. Romulo (Novorizontino) — 8 goals, 8 assists.
13. Hygor (Botafogo SP) — 7 goals.
14. Maílton (Fortaleza EC) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
15. Janderson (Vila Nova) — 6 goals, 7 assists.
16. Vinícius Diniz (Operario-PR) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
17. Vitinho (Fortaleza EC) — 6 goals.
18. Alisson Safira (Juventude) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
19. Dadá Belmonte (CRB) — 5 goals, 5 assists.
20. Crystopher (CRB) — 5 goals, 5 assists.