Regular Season - 37 · 29 November 2026, 21:30 UTC

Internacional vs RB Bragantino Serie A prediction

Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre

Our model says: Internacional 1–0 RB Bragantino

The model makes it 40% Internacional, 30% draw, 30% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Internacional 1.32, RB Bragantino 1.08.

Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, under 2.5: 57%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,952 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Internacional's rating is built from 72 Brazilian Serie A matches and RB Bragantino's from 72, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,101 matches.

Key facts

  • Internacional are 16th on 38 points from 34 games; RB Bragantino are 8th on 47 points from 34 games — Serie A.
  • Internacional have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Coritiba.
  • RB Bragantino have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Santos.
  • Last 6 meetings: Internacional 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 31 May 2026, ended RB Bragantino 3–1 Internacional.

More Brazilian Serie A predictions

All Brazilian Serie A predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Internacional vs RB Bragantino

49%
Both teams to score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Internacional win Draw RB Bragantino win
  1. 1–114%
  2. 1–011%
  3. 0–010%
  4. 0–19%
  5. 2–19%
  6. 2–08%
  7. 1–27%

Scores read Internacional first; the other scorelines share the remaining 32%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Internacional at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Internacional vs RB Bragantino

Internacional

Serie A

  • W1-0Coritiba4 November 2026
  • L1-2away to Fluminense28 October 2026
  • W3-0Botafogo24 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Mirassol16 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Gremio11 October 2026

RB Bragantino

Serie A

  • W2-1Santos2 November 2026
  • W3-0Chapecoense28 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Palmeiras24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Remo18 October 2026
  • W4-2Cruzeiro13 October 2026

What these results say

  • Internacional scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • RB Bragantino scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • RB Bragantino conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Internacional34911143842-438
8RB Bragantino34138134439+547

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Internacional vs RB Bragantino

Internacional and RB Bragantino have met 6 times in the records we hold, Internacional has won 4 of them to RB Bragantino's 1, with 1 drawn.

The record

RB Bragantino won the last one 3–1 on 31 May 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Internacional411148
RB Bragantino114814

Between them these 6 meetings produced 22 goals, an average of 3.67 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 31 May 2026
    Serie A    RB Bragantino 3–1 Internacional
  • 7 Dec 2025
    Serie A    Internacional 3–1 RB Bragantino
  • 9 Aug 2025
    Serie A    RB Bragantino 1–3 Internacional
  • 24 Nov 2024
    Serie A    Internacional 4–1 RB Bragantino
  • 25 Sep 2024
    Serie A    RB Bragantino 2–2 Internacional
  • 26 Nov 2023
    Serie A    Internacional 1–0 RB Bragantino

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, RB Bragantino's attack rates 10% above Internacional's, and RB Bragantino concede 4% fewer than Internacional. That gives RB Bragantino the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Internacional0.781.12
RB Bragantino0.861.07

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: Internacional and RB Bragantino

Internacional

GoalsAssists

  • J. Carbonero74

RB Bragantino

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Where the model differs from the table

The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour RB Bragantino (8th, with Internacional 16th), while our numbers lean to Internacional. Internacional rate 0.78 in attack and 1.12 in defence, RB Bragantino 0.86 and 1.07 (lower is better in defence): close enough that playing at home is what tips the call.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Internacional RB Bragantino
0.78 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.86
1.12 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.07
1.32 Model expected goals (this match) 1.08

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Internacional the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Internacional against 1.08 for RB Bragantino. Internacional's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.86/1.07 for RB Bragantino.

Internacional carry a model rating of 6.67 against 6.74 for RB Bragantino. A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

How the model reaches 40% for Internacional to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Internacional to win. Then home advantage adds 9 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Internacional's ratings take away 2 points and RB Bragantino's ratings take away 2 points, which lands on the published 40%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage45%+9
  3. Both sides at this match's level44%−1
  4. Internacional's ratings42%−2
  5. RB Bragantino's ratings40%−2

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

InternacionalRB Bragantino
34Matches34
9W 11D 14LRecord13W 8D 13L
38 1.1 per gameGoals scored44 1.3 per game
42 1.2 per gameGoals conceded39 1.1 per game
8 of 34Clean sheets9 of 34
10 of 34Failed to score8 of 34
3 of 3Penalties scored2 of 5
88 2.6 per gameYellow cards87 2.6 per game
5Red cards5
3-4-2-1 11×Usual shape4-2-3-1 26×

Internacional at home · RB Bragantino away

17Played17
6W 5D 6LRecord4W 5D 8L
22–17Goals for – against15–21
6 of 17Clean sheets3 of 17

League matches only, Serie A, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Serie A matches this season: Internacional 34, RB Bragantino 34.

Internacional scored 376669
RB Bragantino conceded 5810968

Internacional score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); RB Bragantino have let in 8 there.

RB Bragantino scored 5511637
Internacional conceded 6877411

RB Bragantino score most often in the 31–45 minute window (11 goals); Internacional have let in 7 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

Next match, by difficulty

Internacional

  • at Cruzeiro3 Dec · Serie Awin 20%

RB Bragantino

  • vs Fluminense3 Dec · Serie Awin 40%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.