1899 Hoffenheim
vs
FC Augsburg
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 FC Augsburg
The model makes it 45% 1899 Hoffenheim, 23% draw, 32% FC Augsburg — fair odds of 2.22, 4.35 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: 1899 Hoffenheim 2.27, FC Augsburg 1.85.
Both teams to score: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%, under 2.5: 22%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,952 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. 1899 Hoffenheim's rating is built from 43 Bundesliga matches and FC Augsburg's from 43, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 697 matches.
Key facts
- 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th on 12 points from 9 games; FC Augsburg are 14th on 9 points from 9 games — Bundesliga.
- 1899 Hoffenheim have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to FC Schalke 04.
- FC Augsburg have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-5 defeat away to RB Leipzig.
- Last 6 meetings: 1899 Hoffenheim 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 10 April 2026, ended FC Augsburg 2–2 1899 Hoffenheim.
More Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg
Has the model earned this number?
1899 Hoffenheim at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
Bundesliga
- W2-1FC Schalke 048 November 2026
- L0-2away to Werder Bremen31 October 2026
- W3-0Bayer Leverkusen25 October 2026
- W2-1away to Borussia Mönchengladbach18 October 2026
- L2-3Hamburger SV10 October 2026
FC Augsburg
Bundesliga
- L2-5away to RB Leipzig7 November 2026
- L1-2SC Freiburg31 October 2026
- D1-1Union Berlin24 October 2026
- L3-4away to SV Elversberg17 October 2026
- D2-2Bayern München10 October 2026
What these results say
- 1899 Hoffenheim scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 1899 Hoffenheim conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for 1899 Hoffenheim had three goals or more.
- FC Augsburg did not win any of these 5 matches.
- FC Augsburg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Augsburg conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg
1899 Hoffenheim and FC Augsburg have met 6 times in the records we hold, 1899 Hoffenheim has won 3 of them to FC Augsburg's 0, with 3 drawn.
The record
They drew 2–2 at FC Augsburg on 10 Apr 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 5 |
| FC Augsburg | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 17 goals, an average of 2.83 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 10 Apr 2026
BundesligaFC Augsburg 2–2 1899 Hoffenheim - 29 Nov 2025
Bundesliga1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 FC Augsburg - 29 Mar 2025
Bundesliga1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Augsburg - 6 Jan 2025
Friendlies Clubs1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 FC Augsburg - 10 Nov 2024
BundesligaFC Augsburg 0–0 1899 Hoffenheim - 7 Apr 2024
Bundesliga1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 FC Augsburg
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, the two attacks rate almost level, and 1899 Hoffenheim concede 3% fewer than FC Augsburg. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| FC Augsburg | 1.07 | 1.15 |
Leading scorers: 1899 Hoffenheim and FC Augsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
FC Augsburg
GoalsAssists
- M. Gregoritsch50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives 1899 Hoffenheim the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.27 expected goals for 1899 Hoffenheim against 1.85 for FC Augsburg. 1899 Hoffenheim's attack/defence rating is 1.07/1.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.07/1.15 for FC Augsburg.
How the model reaches 45% for 1899 Hoffenheim to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for 1899 Hoffenheim to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, 1899 Hoffenheim's ratings add 1 point and FC Augsburg's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 45%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground38%
- Home advantage43%+5
- Both sides at this match's level44%+1
- 1899 Hoffenheim's ratings45%+1
- FC Augsburg's ratings45%±0
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
1899 Hoffenheim at home · FC Augsburg away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
1899 HoffenheimFC Augsburg
1899 Hoffenheim are 9th after 9 Bundesliga matches (between 9th and 16th so far); FC Augsburg are 14th after 9 (between 1st and 11th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: 1899 Hoffenheim 9, FC Augsburg 9.
1899 Hoffenheim score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); FC Augsburg have let in 4 there.
FC Augsburg score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); 1899 Hoffenheim have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
1899 Hoffenheim
- at SC Freiburg5 Dec · Bundesligawin 22%
- at Anderlecht10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 30%
- vs Bayern München13 Dec · Bundesligawin 17%
FC Augsburg
- vs 1. FC Köln5 Dec · Bundesligawin 51%
- at Borussia Dortmund12 Dec · Bundesligawin 14%
- vs SC Paderborn 0719 Dec · Bundesligawin 47%
- at VfB Stuttgart9 Jan · Bundesligawin 25%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.