Amazulu
vs
Milford FC
Premier Soccer League prediction
Our model says: Amazulu 1–0 Milford FC
The model makes it 38% Amazulu, 34% draw, 28% Milford FC — fair odds of 2.63, 2.94 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Amazulu 1.01, Milford FC 0.80.
Both teams to score: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%, under 2.5: 73%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,327 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Amazulu's rating is built from 39 South African Premier Soccer League matches and Milford FC's from 14, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 546 matches.
Key facts
- Amazulu are 3rd on 22 points from 9 games; Milford FC are 4th on 18 points from 10 games — Premier Soccer League.
- Amazulu are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 1-0 win at home to Golden Arrows.
- Milford FC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 1-0 win at home to Sekhukhune United.
More South African Premier Soccer League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Amazulu vs Milford FC
Has the model earned this number?
Amazulu at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Amazulu vs Milford FC
Amazulu
Premier Soccer League
- W1-0Golden Arrows31 October 2026
- W2-1away to Durban City13 October 2026
- W1-0away to Polokwane City19 September 2026
- W1-0Marumo Gallants12 September 2026
- W2-1away to Richards Bay4 September 2026
Milford FC
Premier Soccer League
- W1-0Sekhukhune United31 October 2026
- W1-0away to Golden Arrows17 October 2026
- D1-1Durban City20 September 2026
- W5-1Richards Bay13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Chippa United5 September 2026
What these results say
- Amazulu won every one of these 5 matches.
- Amazulu scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Milford FC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Milford FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Milford FC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Amazulu | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 | Milford FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Amazulu
Chance to finish in the top four · 83% today
Milford FC
Chance to finish in the top four · 43% today
From our Premier Soccer League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Leading scorers: Amazulu and Milford FC
Amazulu
GoalsAssists
- T. Ngwenya81
Milford FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Zikakayo40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Amazulu a 1.6% chance of the title and Milford FC 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Amazulu the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.01 expected goals for Amazulu against 0.80 for Milford FC. Amazulu's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.45 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.24 for Milford FC.
How the model reaches 38% for Amazulu to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Amazulu to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Amazulu's ratings add 1 point and Milford FC's ratings take away 1 point, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground35%
- Home advantage40%+5
- Both sides at this match's level38%−2
- Amazulu's ratings39%+1
- Milford FC's ratings38%−1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Amazulu at home · Milford FC away
League matches only, Premier Soccer League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier Soccer League matches this season: Amazulu 9, Milford FC 10.
Amazulu score most often in the 31–45 minute window (4 goals); Milford FC have let in 1 there.
Milford FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Amazulu have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Amazulu
- at Sekhukhune United5 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 35%
- at Chippa United15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 38%
- vs Kruger United19 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 53%
- vs TS Galaxy10 Jan · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 53%
Milford FC
- vs Kaizer Chiefs5 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 37%
- at Stellenbosch15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 34%
- at TS Galaxy20 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 40%
- vs Marumo Gallants8 Jan · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 54%
- vs Mamelodi Sundowns16 Jan · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 32%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.