KNVB Cup predictions

8 matches ahead, from 27 October to 28 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Excelsior, 60% against MVV. 1 is marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Tuesday 27 October — 4 matches

19:00 UTC Roda vs De Graafschap — model 45% / 30% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.33 · 4.00. Evenly matched
19:00 UTC FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam — model 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.57 · 2.38. Edge: FC Volendam
19:00 UTC Helmond Sport vs Willem II — model 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.45 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
19:00 UTC Telstar vs Almere City FC — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00. Evenly matched

Wednesday 28 October — 4 matches

17:45 UTC Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard — model 39% / 27% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.70 · 2.94. Evenly matched
19:00 UTC PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Evenly matched
19:00 UTC VVV Venlo vs Vitesse — model 48% / 27% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.70 · 4.00. Evenly matched
19:00 UTC MVV vs Excelsior — model 16% / 24% / 60%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 6.25 · 4.17 · 1.67. One-sided: Excelsior