Warta Poznań sit 3rd in the I Liga on 15 points from 9 matches, having scored 17 and conceded 13. On the model's scale they rate 0.70 in attack and 1.74 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against I Liga averages of 0.57 and 1.72: above the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins and 2 defeats, most recently beating Puszcza Niepołomice 3-2 at home. That is 1.67 points a match, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.44 per game across 5 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 3 points behind Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 12th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Stal Mielec in the I Liga on 11 October 2026, a match the model gives them 41%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
I Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | +7 | DDWLW | 18 |
| 2 | Nieciecza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | LDWWW | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznań | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | WLLWW | 15 |
| 4 | ŁKS Łódź | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | WDDWL | 15 |
| 5 | Miedz Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | +5 | WWDLL | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | WLLDW | 14 |
| 7 | Stal Rzeszów | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | LWWWW | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | WWLWW | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Głogów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | +3 | LWDDL | 12 |
| 10 | Pogoń Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | WLWDW | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | WLWDD | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | LDDLL | 11 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | WLLWD | 10 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | DDDLL | 9 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | -3 | DDDDD | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | -9 | LLDLL | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12:14 | -2 | DLDDD | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | -4 | LLWLL | 6 |
- Promotion
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Warta Poznań sit 3 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W3-2Puszcza Niepołomice18 September 2026
- W3-0Arka Gdynia12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki4 September 2026
- L1-2away to Miedz Legnica30 August 2026
- W1-0away to Chrobry Głogów21 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec
Warta Poznań travel to Stal Mielec at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec on 11 October 2026, 10:00 UTC. The model makes it 41% Warta Poznań, 26% draw and 33% Stal Mielec, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 2.11 expected goals for Warta Poznań against 1.73. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Full preview and model analysis for Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec
Recent meetings with Stal Mielec
- 22 April 2024Warta Poznań 5–2 Stal MielecEkstraklasa
- 23 October 2023Stal Mielec 0–1 Warta PoznańEkstraklasa
- 27 May 2023Stal Mielec 1–0 Warta PoznańEkstraklasa
- 11 November 2022Warta Poznań 1–1 Stal MielecEkstraklasa
- 16 April 2022Stal Mielec 0–1 Warta PoznańEkstraklasa
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.