25 July 2026, 15:00 UTC

Zlin vs Baník Ostrava Czech Liga prediction & result

Stadion Letna, Zlin
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Zlin 0-1 Baník Ostrava.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Zlin, 27% draw, 49% Baník Ostrava — fair odds of 4.17, 3.70 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Baník Ostrava at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

60'
⚽V. Jureckaassist: A. Musak
🔁D. Smigaout: T. Poznar
64'
🔁L. Bartosakout: F. Dornak
65'
66'
🔁A. Musakout: F. Kubala
66'
🔁V. Jureckaout: D. Gilbert
T. Hellebrand
72'
🔁T. Ulbrichout: T. Fojtu
75'
🔁T. Hellebrandout: M. Cupak
75'
78'
🔁D. Plankaout: D. Holzer
78'
🔁A. Gningout: V. Skrkon
🔁F. Appiahout: M. Toure
89'
90'
🔁A. Beweneout: M. Frydrych
M. Pisoja
90+1'
T. Poznar
90+2'

Match stats — Zlin vs Baník Ostrava

46%Possession54%
12Shots13
1On target3
3Corners5
0.81xG1.01

Goals against chances

Zlin0 from 0.81 xGless than the chances were worth
Baník Ostrava1 from 1.01 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zlin 4-2-3-1
  • 17Stanislav DostalG
  • 23Miloš KopečnýD
  • 24Jakub ČernínD
  • 35Ondrej KukuckaD
  • 82Marián PišojaD
  • 19Cletus NombilM
  • 53Tomas HellebrandM
  • 20Frank AppiahM
  • 4Tom UlbrichM
  • 31Lukas BartosakM
  • 9Daniel ŠmigaF
Substitutes
  • 88Tomáš PoznarF
  • 13Filip DornakM
  • 26Michal CupakM
  • 37Tomas FojtuM
  • 18Moustapha ToureF
  • 64Stepan BachurekG
  • 21David GrygeraD
  • 39Antonín KřapkaD
  • 11Adam GažiM
Coach: Bronislav Cervenka
Baník Ostrava 3-5-1-1
  • 23Martin JedličkaG
  • 44Yevgeniy SkybaD
  • 37Matěj ChalušD
  • 42Jiri MicekD
  • 34Abdullahi BeweneM
  • 55Artúr MusákM
  • 83Roan NoghaM
  • 18David PlankaM
  • 99Vlasiy SinyavskiyM
  • 12Abdallah GningF
  • 15Václav JurečkaF
Substitutes
  • 7Dantaye GilbertM
  • 28Filip KubalaF
  • 95Daniel HolzerM
  • 22Vit SkrkonF
  • 17Michal FrydrychD
  • 1Viktor BudinskýG
  • 6Karel PojeznýD
  • 81Matúš KmeťD
  • 8Aboubacar TraoreM
Coach: Roman Skuhravy

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Zlin8008718-110
12Baník Ostrava8305515-109

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zlin vs Baník Ostrava

  • 25 July 2026Zlin 0–1 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
  • 16 May 2026Baník Ostrava 2–0 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 8 March 2026Baník Ostrava 6–2 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 5 October 2025Zlin 1–1 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
  • 3 March 2024Zlin 0–1 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
  • 1 November 2023Baník Ostrava 0–1 ZlinCup
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.