Teplice vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Teplice 3-1 Bohemians 1905.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Teplice, 22% draw, 19% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 1.69, 4.55 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Teplice at 59% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Teplice vs Bohemians 1905
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Matouš TrmalG
- 6Michal BílekD
- 4Oskars VientiessD
- 28Dalibor VečerkaD
- 25Matej RizničD
- 8Jan FortelnýM
- 23Lukáš MarečekM
- 35Matej RadostaM
- 12Marcel ČermákM
- 14Ladislav KrejčíM
- 10Matej PulkrabF
- 21Idris HopiF
- 17John AutaM
- 22Laco TakacsD
- 37Daniel MarečekM
- 27Matěj NáprstekF
- 31Krystof LichtenbergG
- 5Jakub JakubkoD
- 13Denys TaradudaD
- 16Petr KodesM
- 23Tomáš FrühwaldG
- 24Milan HavelD
- 8David HeidenreichD
- 27David LischkaD
- 19Jan KovaříkD
- 47Aleš ČermákM
- 6Benson SakalaM
- 42Vojtěch SmržM
- 10Jan MatoušekF
- 99Ladislav AlmásiF
- 11Václav PilařF
- 22Jan VondraD
- 18Denis VálaD
- 13Vladimir ZemanF
- 15Mathews BandaD
- 70Šimon ČernýM
- 71Jakub ŠimanG
- 12Michal ReichlG
- 32Petr MirvaldD
- 3Matej KadlecD
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Teplice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Teplice vs Bohemians 1905
- 30 November 2025Bohemians 1905 0–1 TepliceCzech Liga
- 2 August 2025Teplice 3–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 29 March 2025Bohemians 1905 1–1 TepliceCzech Liga
- 27 October 2024Teplice 1–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 25 November 2023Teplice 1–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
Leading scorers: Teplice and Bohemians 1905
Teplice
GoalsAssists
- John Auta40
- L. Mareček31
Bohemians 1905
GoalsAssists
- A. Čermák51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Teplice beat Bohemians 1905 3–1. The model had made a win for Teplice its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Pulkrab 20' for Teplice, M. Pulkrab 55' for Teplice, L. Almasi 67' for Bohemians 1905, J. Auta 83' for Teplice. On expected goals it finished 2.43–0.73.