25 July 2026, 15:00 UTC

Plzen vs Slovan Liberec Czech Liga prediction & result

Doosan Arena, Plzen
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Plzen 1-3 Slovan Liberec.

Before kick-off the model made it 76% Plzen, 18% draw, 6% Slovan Liberec — fair odds of 1.32, 5.56 and 16.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Plzen at 76% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
⚽T. Ladra (OG)
44'
J. Kozeluh
🔁L. Cervout: S. Pirgic
46'
🔁D. Visinskyout: C. Kabongo
46'
🔁A. Memicout: S. Bohac
46'
🔁S. Lawalout: M. Vydra
46'
47'
P. Hodous
⚽D. Krcik (pen)
51'
M. Vydra
55'
62'
🔁P. Hodousout: A. Soliu
62'
🔁J. Kozeluhout: J. Mikula
74'
L. Masopust
75'
🔁V. Stranskyout: F. Faye
75'
🔁L. Masekout: R. Krollis
76'
⚽A. Soliuassist: P. Dulay
79'
R. Krollis
🔁T. Ladraout: B. Faal
81'
S. Bohac
82'
86'
🔁V. Kusejout: L. Letenay
90'
P. Dulay
90+5'
⚽P. Dulay

Match stats — Plzen vs Slovan Liberec

58%Possession42%
8Shots21
1On target10
5Corners4
1.07xG2.42

Goals against chances

Plzen1 from 1.07 xGabout what the chances were worth
Slovan Liberec3 from 2.42 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Plzen 4-2-3-1
  • 44Florian WiegeleG
  • 99Amar MemićD
  • 37Dávid KrčíkD
  • 40Sampson DwehD
  • 14Merchas DoskiD
  • 17Patrik HrošovskýM
  • 6Lukáš ČervM
  • 12Alexandr SojkaM
  • 18Tomáš LadraM
  • 9Denis VišinskýM
  • 7Salim Fago LawalF
Substitutes
  • 36Stefan PirgićF
  • 66Sebastian BoháčM
  • 11Matěj VydraF
  • 25Christophe KabongoF
  • 23Baboucarr FaalF
  • 1Dominik ŤapajG
  • 98Filip PrebslD
  • 5Karel SpáčilD
  • 19Cheick SouaréM
Coach: Martin Hysky
Slovan Liberec 4-2-3-1
  • 40Tomáš KoubekG
  • 18Josef KoželuhD
  • 14Augustin DrakpeD
  • 29Lukáš HůlkaD
  • 27Aziz KayondoD
  • 12Vojtěch StránskýM
  • 8Lukáš MasopustM
  • 24Patrik DulayM
  • 19Vasil KušejM
  • 5Petr HodoušM
  • 9Lukáš MašekF
Substitutes
  • 3Jan MikulaD
  • 7Soliu AfolabiM
  • 60Fallou FayeM
  • 99Raimonds KrollisF
  • 21Lukáš LetenayF
  • 47Jindrich MusilG
  • 31Dominik KudelcikG
  • 15Milan LexaM
  • 16Alexandr BužekM
Coach: Branislav Fodrek

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Plzen82421615+110
2Slovan Liberec8611134+919

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Plzen vs Slovan Liberec

  • 25 July 2026Plzen 1–3 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 9 May 2026Plzen 2–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 8 February 2026Plzen 3–1 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 31 August 2025Slovan Liberec 1–1 PlzenCzech Liga
  • 8 February 2025Plzen 3–2 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 1 September 2024Slovan Liberec 1–1 PlzenCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Plzen and Slovan Liberec

Plzen

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Slovan Liberec

  • P. Dulay3 goals1 assists
  • L. Mašek3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.