29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica Super Liga prediction & result

Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost

Full time5 – 1

Final score: Železničar Pančevo 5-1 Radnik Surdulica.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Železničar Pančevo, 29% draw, 29% Radnik Surdulica — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published 29 August 2026 · updated 3 October 2026

All Serbian SuperLiga predictions →

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Železničar Pančevo at 42% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Železničar Pančevo99%Draw1%Radnik Surdulica0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Darko Stojanović

11'

⚽L. Zoricassist: A. Kosiah

15'

Ayouba Kosiah

Simão Pedro

20'

Mamane Amadou Sabo

25'

🔁K. Sekularacout: A. Kuljanin

46'

🔁N. Jovanovicout: K. Karikari

46'

🔁D. Stojanovicout: M. Novakovic

46'

🔁A. Kosiahout: V. Bogdanovic

⚽J. Jevremovicassist: A. Kuljanin

51'

60'

🔁T. Sonhaout: Rafael Pontelo

⚽K. Karikari

61'

⚽A. Kuljaninassist: K. Karikari

67'

🔁S. Pedroout: S. Plavsic

68'

🔁E. Quarshieout: R. Ohori

⚽K. Karikariassist: S. Plavsic

72'

76'

🔁L. Jovanovicout: M. Dzangarovski

🔁D. Ankeyeout: M. Curic

77'

82'

Martin Novaković

🔁J. Jevremovicout: D. Tosic

84'

Aleksa Kuljanin

85'

⚽K. Karikariassist: U. Tegeltija

90'

Match stats — Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica

63%Possession37%

17Shots6

9On target2

6Corners1

5.14xG0.47

Goals against chances

Železničar Pančevo5 from 5.14 xGabout what the chances were worth

Radnik Surdulica1 from 0.47 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Železničar Pančevo 4-1-4-1

1Z. PopovicG
19U. TegeltijaD
6M. MilikicD
5N. VidojevicD
33N. DjuricicD
26M. Amadou SaboM
11N. JovanovicM
20J. JevremovicM
77K. SekularacM
10S. PedroM
21D. AnkeyeF

Substitutes

66J. MiladinovicG
3C. TchouanteD
7M. CuricM
88C. LhernaultM
14D. TosicM
95S. PlavsicM
70Leo Agostinho
17A. KuljaninF
9L. AdzicM

Coach: Radomir Kokovic

Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1

99S. Randjelovic
22U. LazicD
6D. StojanovicD
37S. AbubakarD
2T. SonhaD
5M. PopovicM
3L. ZoricM
47E. QuarshieM
7D. StojanovicM
20L. JovanovicM
92A. KosiahF

Substitutes

23L. RadojicicG
14U. IlicD
45Rafael PonteloD
21U. FilipovicD
55M. DzangarovskiF
30M. NovakovicM
10R. OhoriM
25T. LakicF
9V. BogdanovicF

Coach: Zoran Rendulic

Form going into Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica