MTK Budapest
vs
Zalaegerszegi TE
Final score: MTK Budapest 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% MTK Budapest, 24% draw, 11% Zalaegerszegi TE — fair odds of 1.54, 4.17 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (18%).
Expected goals: MTK Budapest 1.67, Zalaegerszegi TE 0.52.
Both teams to score: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 2.5: 63%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
MTK Budapest had 47% possession, 15 shots (6 on target), 1 corners; Zalaegerszegi TE had 53% possession, 12 shots (4 on target), 5 corners.
Goals: Zalán Kerezsi 12' for MTK Budapest, Zalán Kerezsi 66' for MTK Budapest, Milán Klausz 71' for MTK Budapest.
Head-to-head: MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
- 27 July 2026MTK Budapest 3–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 11 April 2026MTK Budapest 3–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 20 December 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 1–1 MTK BudapestNB I
- 21 September 2025MTK Budapest 1–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 8 March 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 1–1 MTK BudapestNB I
- 2 November 2024MTK Budapest 1–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives MTK Budapest the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.67 expected goals for MTK Budapest against 0.52 for Zalaegerszegi TE. MTK Budapest's attack/defence rating is 0.51/1.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.36/1.73 for Zalaegerszegi TE.