Aarhus vs Silkeborg Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Aarhus 2-2 Silkeborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Aarhus, 28% draw, 28% Silkeborg — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Aarhus at 44% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aarhus vs Silkeborg
Line-ups
- 21M. Hedenstad ChristiansenG
- 25C. RöslerD
- 33Luka CalløD
- 19E. KahlD
- 29R. CarstensenM
- 4M. KnudsenM
- 10Kristian Fredrik Malt ArnstadM
- 23M. AndersonM
- 31T. BechM
- 8S. JørgensenM
- 28J. BogereF
- 1J. HansenG
- 26J. AndersenD
- 14T. MølgaardD
- 3D. GrétarssonD
- 39Frederik EmmeryF
- 18C. McCowattM
- 16J. JønssonM
- 27S. TchamcheF
- 13J. SerraF
- 1A. AndrésenG
- 24A. MadsenD
- 3R. ØstrømD
- 29W. MollerD
- 7V. WesthM
- 20M. LarsenM
- 27W. KirkM
- 19J. GammelbyM
- 21L. RiisgaardM
- 11O. RossM
- 22R. Al HajjF
- 10Y. BakizM
- 14S. BergerM
- 6M. de GevigneyD
- 23M. HansenF
- 8K. KirkegaardM
- 36J. NielsenM
- 30T. MikkelsenG
- 2A. PoulsenD
- 42Kristian Bloch BøgildF
Form going into Aarhus vs Silkeborg
Aarhus
- L0-2FC Midtjylland2 September 2026
- L1-2away to Randers FC30 August 2026
Silkeborg
- D1-1FC Midtjylland30 August 2026
- L1-3away to Brondby24 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aarhus | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aarhus vs Silkeborg
- 5 September 2026Aarhus 2–2 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 21 November 2025Silkeborg 0–2 AarhusSuperliga
- 5 October 2025Aarhus 3–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 1 December 2024Silkeborg 1–1 AarhusSuperliga
- 15 September 2024Aarhus 1–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 16 May 2024Aarhus 0–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: Aarhus and Silkeborg
Aarhus
- C. McCowatt3 goals2 assists
- J. Serra3 goals
Silkeborg
- O. Ross3 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.