FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Copenhagen 3-1 Sonderjyske.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Copenhagen, 29% draw, 27% Sonderjyske — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Copenhagen at 44% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41Diant RamajG
- 20Junnosuke SuzukiD
- 5Gabriel PereiraD
- 2Felix BeijmoD
- 15Marcos LópezD
- 36William ClemM
- 21Mads Emil MadsenM
- 33Alex KrálM
- 10Mohamed ElyounoussiM
- 16RobertM
- 14Andreas CorneliusF
- 4Asger SørensenD
- 27Thomas DelaneyM
- 39Viktor Bjarki DadasonF
- 12Thapelo MasekoF
- 34Marvin NasnasM
- 31Rúnar Alex RúnarssonG
- 24Birger MelingD
- 6Ákos MarkgráfD
- 44Geovanni VianneyF
- 1Nicolai FløG
- 12Maxime SoulasD
- 25Brynjar Ingi BjarnasonD
- 4Daníel GrétarssonD
- 3Alexander MunksgaardM
- 6Rasmus VinderslevM
- 33Jacob ChristensenM
- 23Chidiebube DuruM
- 7Sefer EminiF
- 8Mohamed Cherif HaidaraF
- 31Ismaïl SeydiF
- 13Dalton WilkinsD
- 22Andreas OggesenM
- 17Anders HoegM
- 9Matthew HoppeF
- 26Bubacarr TambedouF
- 27Berkant BayrakG
- 19Pachanga KristensenD
- 32David Boison FrimpongF
- 15Lirim QamiliF
Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske
FC Copenhagen
- W4-1Inter Turku27 August 2026
- L0-4away to Viborg23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Inter Turku20 August 2026
- W4-0away to Randers FC16 August 2026
- W5-1Debreceni VSC12 August 2026
Sonderjyske
- L0-3FC Nordsjaelland23 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Copenhagen had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 24 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske
- 31 August 2026FC Copenhagen 3–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 7 December 2025FC Copenhagen 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 27 September 2025Sonderjyske 1–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 9 March 2025FC Copenhagen 1–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 30 October 2024Sonderjyske 1–2 FC CopenhagenDBU Pokalen
- 11 August 2024Sonderjyske 0–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Sonderjyske
FC Copenhagen
- M. Elyounoussi6 goals2 assists
- B. Meling4 goals1 assist
Sonderjyske
- M. Haidara4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.