FC Copenhagen
vs
Sonderjyske
Superliga prediction
The model makes it 53% FC Copenhagen, 23% draw, 24% Sonderjyske — fair odds of 1.89, 4.35 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 1.89, Sonderjyske 1.22.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FC Copenhagen
- W4-0away to Randers FC16 August 2026
- W3-1away to Silkeborg2 August 2026
- W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
Sonderjyske
- D0-0Viborg7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Odense3 August 2026
- L2-3FC Midtjylland26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske
- 7 December 2025FC Copenhagen 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 27 September 2025Sonderjyske 1–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 9 March 2025FC Copenhagen 1–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 30 October 2024Sonderjyske 1–2 FC CopenhagenDBU Pokalen
- 11 August 2024Sonderjyske 0–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 16 July 2024FC Copenhagen 3–2 SonderjyskeFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers
FC Copenhagen
- M. Elyounoussi4 goals
- B. Meling2 goals
Sonderjyske
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
FC Copenhagen carry a model rating of 6.56 against 6.49 for Sonderjyske. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): FC Copenhagen W-W-W; Sonderjyske L-L-D.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.89 goals for FC Copenhagen and 1.22 for Sonderjyske. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Copenhagen rate 0.78 in attack and 1.40 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Sonderjyske rate 0.62 and 1.28.
That points to 60% for over two and a half goals and 60% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 446 correct results out of 915 settled predictions (49%), with 86 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.89 expected goals for FC Copenhagen against 1.22 for Sonderjyske. FC Copenhagen's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.4 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.28 for Sonderjyske.