Uta Arad vs Csikszereda Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Uta Arad 5-1 Csikszereda.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Uta Arad, 28% draw, 23% Csikszereda — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Uta Arad at 49% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Uta Arad vs Csikszereda
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33A. GorceaG
- 2A. DorobantuD
- 15P. OuanehD
- 4A. BengaD
- 3D. AlomerovicD
- 5S. MinoM
- 8A. RomanM
- 20D. TaroiM
- 77J. PapeauM
- 11H. AbdallahM
- 9M. ComanF
- 72A. PadulaD
- 22R. BadescuD
- 6A. IvanovM
- 14S. GueuletteM
- 7I. SinaniF
- 12A. I. PopescuG
- 10M. TzionisF
- 42O. El SawyM
- 94E. PapG
- 4A. SzaboD
- 3R. PalmesD
- 24J. HegedusD
- 6L. PaszkaM
- 11A. HorvathM
- 8S. VeresM
- 29R. TrifM
- 77A. StahlF
- 16E. Toth-PalF
- 27M. EppelF
- 34M. KaracsonyG
- 5G. PappD
- 18M. TajtiM
- 30Z. MagyarM
- 90S. NyitraM
- 79S. SzalayF
- 17A. CzekusF
- 55D. BotaM
Form going into Uta Arad vs Csikszereda
Uta Arad
- W3-1away to FCSB30 August 2026
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara22 August 2026
Csikszereda
- L2-3CFR 1907 Cluj29 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Botosani24 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Uta Arad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Uta Arad vs Csikszereda
- 5 September 2026Uta Arad 5–1 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 8 May 2026Uta Arad 1–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 7 February 2026Csikszereda 2–0 Uta AradLiga I
- 27 September 2025Uta Arad 0–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 30 November 2020Csikszereda 0–2 Uta AradCupa României
- 24 February 2020Csikszereda 0–6 Uta AradLiga II
Leading scorers: Uta Arad and Csikszereda
Uta Arad
- M. Coman4 goals
Csikszereda
- M. Eppel4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.