FC Botosani
vs
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 31% FC Botosani, 26% draw, 43% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 3.23, 3.85 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: FC Botosani 1.30, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1.56.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FC Botosani
- L2-3away to FCSB17 August 2026
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara10 August 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj3 August 2026
- D1-1Rapid27 July 2026
- D2-2away to FC Voluntari17 July 2026
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- D0-0away to Csikszereda15 August 2026
- D0-0FCSB10 August 2026
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara2 August 2026
- W1-0Universitatea Cluj26 July 2026
- L0-1away to Rapid20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | FC Botosani | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 9 May 2025Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 1 February 2025FC Botosani 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 13 September 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 29 February 2024FC Botosani 1–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 23 October 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 5–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 20 February 2023FC Botosani 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
Leading scorers
FC Botosani
- A. Dumiter4 goals
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Botosani carry a model rating of 6.19 against 6.45 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): FC Botosani D-D-L-D-L; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe L-W-D-D-D.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.30 goals for FC Botosani and 1.56 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Botosani rate 0.54 in attack and 2.03 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe rate 0.55 and 1.27.
That points to 54% for over two and a half goals and 58% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.3 expected goals for FC Botosani against 1.56 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. FC Botosani's attack/defence rating is 0.54/2.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.27 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.