5 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Municipal
Full time5 – 0

Final score: FC Botosani 5-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC Botosani, 31% draw, 30% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Botosani at 39% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 2,416 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Botosani99%Draw1%Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Mailat (pen)
9'
⚽S. Mailatassist: Z. Mitrov
10'
George Miron
13'
⚽A. Dumiterassist: Z. Mitrov
24'
⚽Z. Mitrovassist: S. Mailat
36'
🔁S. Mailatout: S. Bodisteanu
39'
⚽Andrei Dumiter (pen)
45+3'
•Mamadou Diarra
45+1'
45+2'
Setigui Karamoko
46'
🔁F. Viannaout: B. Vatajelu
46'
🔁R. Silaghiout: B. Otelita
46'
🔁H. Batzulaout: R. Cimpean
50'
Raul Cîmpean
61'
🔁D. Andreiout: B. Cmiljanic
🔁Z. Mitrovout: Gabriel Gama
65'
🔁L. De Vegaout: H. Ongenda
70'
🔁A. Dumiterout: J. Markovic
70'
•Jovan Marković
72'
⚽J. Markovic (pen)
77'
86'
🔁N. Herasout: V. Daguin

Match stats — FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

55%Possession45%
13Shots10
6On target1
6Corners2
3.79xG1.19

Goals against chances

FC Botosani5 from 3.79 xGmore than the chances were worth
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe0 from 1.19 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Botosani 4-3-3
  • 99G. AnestisG
  • 2B. J. BayeyeD
  • 4A. MironD
  • 94M. DiarraD
  • 73N. IlasD
  • 21L. De VegaM
  • 3C. PetroM
  • 67E. PapaM
  • 11Z. MitrovF
  • 41A. DumiterF
  • 7S. MailatF
Substitutes
  • 27I. C. GurauG
  • 30A. TiganasuD
  • 23E. DiawD
  • 44R. SadikuD
  • 5R. CretD
  • 8R. IdowuM
  • 26H. OngendaF
  • 37M. BordeianuM
  • 77Gabriel GamaM
Coach: Marius Croitoru
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4-3-3
  • 91D. LazarG
  • 2Gustavo CascardoD
  • 31L. RoseD
  • 4S. KaramokoD
  • 3F. ViannaD
  • 17D. AndreiM
  • 6N. I. PaunM
  • 7R. SilaghiM
  • 20N. HerasF
  • 88C. DavordzieF
  • 23H. Batzula
Substitutes
  • 33S. GyengeG
  • 21A. DobrosavleviciD
  • 5B. VatajeluD
  • 25B. OtelitaD
  • 19G. GhimfusM
  • 28V. DaguinM
  • 30A. NistorM
  • 27R. CimpeanM
  • 9B. CmiljanicF
Coach: Ovidiu Burca

Form going into FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

FC Botosani

  • D0-0away to Farul Constanta30 August 2026
  • W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

  • W1-0away to Arges Pitesti29 August 2026
  • D1-1Farul Constanta23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12FC Botosani102531412+211
9Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe10343710-313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

  • 5 September 2026FC Botosani 5–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 9 May 2025Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
  • 1 February 2025FC Botosani 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 13 September 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
  • 29 February 2024FC Botosani 1–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 23 October 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 5–2 FC BotosaniLiga I

Leading scorers: FC Botosani and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

FC Botosani

  • A. Dumiter6 goals

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.