US Biskra
vs
MC Oran
Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: US Biskra 0-1 MC Oran.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% US Biskra, 29% draw, 46% MC Oran — fair odds of 4.00, 3.45 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (13%).
Expected goals: US Biskra 0.90, MC Oran 1.40.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Model insights: US Biskra vs MC Oran
Has the model earned this number?
It puts MC Oran at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into US Biskra vs MC Oran
US Biskra
- L0-4away to CS Constantine7 October 2026
- D0-0JS Saoura22 September 2026
- L0-1CR Belouizdad17 September 2026
- D2-2away to Ben Aknoun10 September 2026
MC Oran
- D0-0ES Setif8 October 2026
- W1-0away to ASO Chlef18 September 2026
- W2-0Témouchent11 September 2026
What these results say
- US Biskra did not win any of these 4 matches.
- US Biskra failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- US Biskra conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | US Biskra | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 2 | MC Oran | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: US Biskra vs MC Oran
- 13 October 2026US Biskra 0–1 MC OranLigue 1
- 26 May 2025US Biskra 0–2 MC OranLigue 1
- 8 December 2024MC Oran 1–0 US BiskraLigue 1
- 11 May 2024US Biskra 0–0 MC OranLigue 1
- 30 March 2024US Biskra 1–0 MC OranCoupe Nationale
- 16 December 2023MC Oran 0–1 US BiskraLigue 1
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 0.90 goals for US Biskra and 1.40 for MC Oran; the game produced 0 and 1.
Goals
Scorers, in order: M. Abdelkader 76' (MC Oran).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives MC Oran the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.90 expected goals for US Biskra against 1.40 for MC Oran. US Biskra's attack/defence rating is 0.39/2.08 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.42 for MC Oran.