JS El Biar
vs
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: JS El Biar 2-3 CR Belouizdad.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% JS El Biar, 24% draw, 45% CR Belouizdad — fair odds of 3.23, 4.17 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: JS El Biar 1.63, CR Belouizdad 2.05.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Model insights: JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CR Belouizdad at 45% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1D. Eddine
- 5B. Cisse
- 6F. Abdat
- 9D. Mouaki
- 10A. Bangoura
- 14K. Aribi
- 15M. Bouchina
- 22A. Kante
- 25D. Boukerma
- 26A. Mammeri
- 27M. Guemroud
- 2M. Reguieg
- 8O. Chita
- 11M. Kaddour
- 13I. Cissoko
- 17A. Oukil
- 24H. Mellouk
- 28I. Abbaci
- 29T. Tahar
- 30T. Moussaoui
- 30F. Chaal
- 3H. Benayada
- 23S. Bouchar
- 4R. Akacem
- 21Y. Laouafi
- 27D. Kaassis
- 6M. Boudjemaa
- 12K. Boualia
- 29B. Boukerchaoui
- 10F. El Melali
- 20M. Ben Hammouda
- 1T. Bousseder
- 13H. Elkouacher
- 9L. Boussouar
- 17M. Y. Chelfaoui
- 18S. Boukhanchouche
- 11A. Meziane
- 15B. Bendahmane
- 5A. Kelaleche
- 7F. Etouga
Form going into JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad
JS El Biar
- D2-2away to Ben Aknoun7 October 2026
- W4-0JS Saoura18 September 2026
- L0-2away to USM Alger10 September 2026
- L0-2Olympique Akbou3 September 2026
CR Belouizdad
- W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
- W1-0away to US Biskra17 September 2026
- W1-0ES Setif11 September 2026
- D3-3away to ASO Chlef5 September 2026
What these results say
- JS El Biar failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- JS El Biar conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- CR Belouizdad won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | JS El Biar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 |
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad
- 12 October 2026JS El Biar 2–3 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 13 May 2023JS El Biar 0–2 CR BelouizdadCoupe Nationale
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.63 goals for JS El Biar and 2.05 for CR Belouizdad; the game produced 2 and 3.
Goals
Scorers, in order: M. Ben Hammouda 1' (CR Belouizdad), K. Aribi 11' (JS El Biar), K. Boualia 36' (CR Belouizdad), K. Aribi 56' (JS El Biar), F. El Melali 69' (CR Belouizdad).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.63 expected goals for JS El Biar against 2.05 for CR Belouizdad. JS El Biar's attack/defence rating is 0.68/2.24 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.47 for CR Belouizdad.