Regular Season - 5 · 12 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Khenchela vs CS Constantine Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time2 – 0

Final score: Khenchela 2-0 CS Constantine.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Khenchela, 26% draw, 28% CS Constantine — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Khenchela 1.80, CS Constantine 1.30.

Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Published · updated

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Model insights: Khenchela vs CS Constantine

61%
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%2-1 9%1-0 8%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Khenchela at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Khenchela99%Draw1%CS Constantine0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Mathew Fall
44'
46'
🔁D. Bizimanaout: Y. Agbagno
53'
H. Chekal Affari
⚽N. Benzid
57'
A. Camara
59'
65'
🔁H. Chekal Affariout: J. Atibu
🔁A. Chaibiout: F. Amrane
75'
87'
🔁N. L'Ghoulout: M. Bouzekri
🔁A. Mathew Fallout: I. Hachoud
87'
🔁N. Benzidout: M. Nezla
90+4'

Line-ups

Khenchela
  • 16O. Litim
  • 27Z. Zaitri
  • 7A. Askar
  • 19A. Dris
  • 4I. Boubekeur
  • 14K. Issouf
  • 6A. Zenasni
  • 22N. Benzid
  • 11A. Chaibi
  • 29A. Camara
  • 9A. Mathew Fall
Substitutes
  • 1H. Bencheikh El Fegoun
  • 17S. Matallah
  • 5Y. Douar
  • 8A. Sameur
  • 18A. Boukhalfa
  • 23F. Amrane
  • 15M. Nezla
  • 21I. Hachoud
CS Constantine
  • 1Z. Bouhalfaya
  • 12O. Meddahi
  • 27A. Chikhi
  • 25M. Rebiai
  • 5Y. Zeghad
  • 14D. Bizimana
  • 8H. Chekal Affari
  • 17A. Lahmeri
  • 26N. L'Ghoul
  • 19H. Djaouchi
  • 18K. Chaban
Substitutes
  • 23A. Necir
  • 2M. Belgourai
  • 21M. Beneddine
  • 6J. Atibu
  • 30R. Torach
  • 11M. Bakir
  • 15M. Berkane
  • 7M. Bouzekri
  • 9Y. Agbagno

Form going into Khenchela vs CS Constantine

Khenchela

  • L0-1away to CR Belouizdad7 October 2026
  • D1-1Ben Aknoun18 September 2026
  • D0-0USM Alger4 September 2026

CS Constantine

  • W4-0US Biskra7 October 2026
  • L1-5away to ES Setif19 September 2026
  • W3-0ASO Chlef12 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Témouchent5 September 2026

What these results say

  • CS Constantine scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for CS Constantine had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Khenchela412132+15
6CS Constantine521298+17

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Khenchela vs CS Constantine

  • 12 October 2026Khenchela 2–0 CS ConstantineLigue 1
  • 19 May 2026CS Constantine 2–2 KhenchelaLigue 1
  • 26 December 2025Khenchela 0–0 CS ConstantineLigue 1
  • 3 June 2025CS Constantine 2–1 KhenchelaLigue 1
  • 15 November 2024Khenchela 1–0 CS ConstantineLigue 1
  • 19 April 2024Khenchela 1–2 CS ConstantineLigue 1

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.80 goals for Khenchela and 1.30 for CS Constantine; the game produced 2 and 0.

Goals

Scorers, in order: A. Mathew Fall 44' (Khenchela), N. Benzid 57' (Khenchela).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Khenchela the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.80 expected goals for Khenchela against 1.30 for CS Constantine. Khenchela's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/2.05 for CS Constantine.