30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt
Full time0 – 1

Final score: SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 Hannover 96.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% SV Darmstadt 98, 29% draw, 31% Hannover 96 — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts SV Darmstadt 98 at 40% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SV Darmstadt 980%Draw3%Hannover 9697%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Aleksandar Vukotić
20'
🔁Y. Furukawaout: Y. Luhrs
22'
34'
🔁I. Okonout: V. Ghita
39'
Franz Roggow
Marcel Schuhen
46'
46'
🔁B. Pichlerout: B. Kallman
46'
🔁F. Roggowout: M. Bundu
55'
•Marcel Hartel
57'
⚽L. Gindorf (pen)
🔁N. Weisshauptout: Lee Ho-Jae
66'
73'
🔁L. Gindorfout: H. Chakroun
🔁N. Verkooijenout: L. Kehl
85'
🔁C. Lannertout: C. Sickinger
85'
🔁R. Petrettaout: M. Merx
85'
86'
Maurice Neubauer

Match stats — SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96

33%Possession67%
11Shots26
3On target7
2Corners11
0.91xG2.31

Goals against chances

SV Darmstadt 980 from 0.91 xGless than the chances were worth
Hannover 961 from 2.31 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SV Darmstadt 98 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. SchuhenG
  • 28C. LannertD
  • 6P. PfeifferD
  • 20A. VukoticD
  • 18R. PetrettaD
  • 16H. AkiyamaM
  • 44Y. FurukawaM
  • 10N. VerkooijenM
  • 41L. DuijvestijnM
  • 7N. WeisshauptM
  • 36M. SmitF
Substitutes
  • 30A. BrunstG
  • 49Y. LuhrsD
  • 4G. DettoniD
  • 3F. KleinhanslD
  • 22L. KehlM
  • 23C. SickingerM
  • 9Lee Ho-JaeF
  • 11I. El KadiriF
  • 48M. MerxF
Coach: Florian Kohfeldt
Hannover 96 3-4-1-2
  • 30L. WeinkaufG
  • 17B. AllgeierD
  • 3B. TomiakD
  • 20I. OkonD
  • 33M. NeubauerM
  • 13F. RoggowM
  • 10M. HartelM
  • 29K. OudenneM
  • 8W. TaibiF
  • 11B. PichlerF
  • 25L. GindorfF
Substitutes
  • 1P. LoretzG
  • 5V. GhitaD
  • 38J. ReinholdM
  • 27H. MatsudaD
  • 14H. ChakrounF
  • 24Y. UnalD
  • 9B. KallmanF
  • 7M. BunduF
  • 28T. EtcibasiF
Coach: Christian Titz

Form going into SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96

SV Darmstadt 98

  • L0-1away to Dynamo Dresden16 August 2026

Hannover 96

  • L0-1VfL Wolfsburg16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18SV Darmstadt 986114513-84
10Hannover 96621379-27

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96

  • 11 April 2026SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 8 November 2025Hannover 96 2–3 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • 20 April 2025SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 23 November 2024Hannover 96 1–2 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • 14 May 2023Hannover 96 2–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • 4 November 2022SV Darmstadt 98 1–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.