12 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Milford FC vs Siwelele Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Richards Bay Stadium, Richards Bay
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Milford FC 1-0 Siwelele.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Milford FC, 21% draw, 34% Siwelele — fair odds of 2.22, 4.76 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Milford FC at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Milford FC96%Draw4%Siwelele0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
🔁J. Cliffordout: T. Potsane
53'
T. Sesane
58'
S. Jeza
🔁T. Mabenaout: K. Radebe
63'
🔁M. Zikakayoout: S. Masilela
63'
70'
🔁B. Thuloout: J. Marks
🔁S. Ndlabiout: T. Mbunga
72'
⚽M. Chili
77'
80'
🔁M. Puleout: N. Mokhachane
80'
🔁S. Jezaout: C. Saile
🔁M. Chiliout: M. Mkhize
83'
🔁J. Gxakosheout: S. Siyaya
83'
87'
🔁S. Kobediout: S. Rasebotja
89'
T. Sesane
89'
T. Sesane

Match stats — Milford FC vs Siwelele

47%Possession53%
8Shots14
2On target3
2Corners9
0.41xG0.82

Goals against chances

Milford FC1 from 0.41 xGmore than the chances were worth
Siwelele0 from 0.82 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Milford FC 4-1-4-1
  • 32S. HlezaG
  • 23T. BhenguD
  • 5V. MthabelaD
  • 22O. CeleD
  • 14S. MdluliD
  • 4B. MthiyaneM
  • 11M. ZikakayoM
  • 35T. MabenaM
  • 10M. ChiliM
  • 17J. GxakosheM
  • 21S. NdlabiF
Substitutes
  • 30M. MadondoG
  • 8M. MkhizeF
  • 20S. SiyayaM
  • 75T. MbungaM
  • 3M. MbheleD
  • 38Y. NomandelaM
  • 50K. RadebeM
  • 19L. DyonasiM
  • 90S. MasilelaF
Coach: Mlungisi Mchunu
Siwelele 4-4-2
  • 31G. PhokoG
  • 2Y. MfoloziD
  • 4T. SesaneD
  • 33S. NdebeleD
  • 29A. BalitiD
  • 20B. ThuloM
  • 26S. KobediM
  • 23G. MargemanM
  • 10M. PuleM
  • 70J. Clifford
  • 17S. JezaF
Substitutes
  • 30S. XuluG
  • 16T. PotsaneM
  • 8R. MokhuoaneM
  • 7N. MokhachaneM
  • 11C. SaileF
  • 80N. NgcoboD
  • 6S. RasebotjaM
  • 27J. MarksM
  • 22K. LupaluleM
Coach: Lehlohonolo Seema

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Milford FC10532117+418
14Siwelele9135916-76

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Milford FC and Siwelele

Milford FC

GoalsAssists

  • M. Zikakayo40

Siwelele

No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Milford FC beat Siwelele 1–0. The model had made a win for Milford FC its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: M. Chili 77' for Milford FC. Sent off: T. Sesane (Siwelele) 89'. On expected goals it finished 0.41–0.82.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.