AC Horsens vs Lyngby Superliga prediction & result
Final score: AC Horsens 2-1 Lyngby.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% AC Horsens, 25% draw, 40% Lyngby — fair odds of 2.86, 4.00 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lyngby at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AC Horsens vs Lyngby
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Matej DelačG
- 26Victor PálssonD
- 35Mikkel KupijbidaD
- 24Ole KolskogenD
- 28Alagie SaineD
- 16Abdul MoroM
- 20Karlo LusavecM
- 27Yamirou OuorouM
- 14Julius MadsenM
- 10Kristian KirkegaardM
- 11Kelvin EhibhatiomhanF
- 17Adam HerdonssonM
- 18Julius KörkköF
- 19Jimi TauriainenM
- 15Adrian JustinussenF
- 7Ivan MiličevićD
- 31Anders HoffG
- 30Seniko DouaD
- 22John BatigiF
- 39Oscar MandrupF
- 31Diego KochenG
- 2Oskar BuurD
- 30Mikkel FischerD
- 24Munashe GaranangaD
- 25Renzo TytensD
- 19Gustav FrauloM
- 13Casper WintherM
- 18Jens Jakob ThomasenM
- 14Lauge SandgravM
- 10Ísak Snær ÞorvaldssonF
- 7Simon ColynF
- 6Daniel Freyr KristjanssonD
- 5Oliver HøjerM
- 26Frederik GytkjærF
- 4Cornelius AllenD
- 16Asbjorn BøndergaardF
- 1Jonathan ÆgidiusG
- 12David AronssonD
- 8Mathias HeboM
- 20Mathias KaarsboM
Form going into AC Horsens vs Lyngby
AC Horsens
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Odense16 August 2026
- L0-2Brondby9 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Midtjylland2 August 2026
- D1-1FC Nordsjaelland26 July 2026
Lyngby
All competitions we cover
- D1-1FC Midtjylland16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Randers FC9 August 2026
- D2-2Aarhus1 August 2026
- L2-3away to FC Copenhagen26 July 2026
What these results say
- AC Horsens conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- AC Horsens failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- AC Horsens scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lyngby did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Lyngby conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Lyngby scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AC Horsens | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AC Horsens vs Lyngby
- 25 May 2026Lyngby 0–2 AC Horsens1. Division
- 4 April 2026AC Horsens 1–0 Lyngby1. Division
- 9 March 2026AC Horsens 1–3 Lyngby1. Division
- 23 August 2025Lyngby 0–0 AC Horsens1. Division
- 3 June 2023AC Horsens 0–0 LyngbySuperliga
Leading scorers: AC Horsens and Lyngby
AC Horsens
GoalsAssists
- K. Ehibhatiomhan40
Lyngby
GoalsAssists
- S. Colyn53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
AC Horsens beat Lyngby 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Lyngby at 40% and given a win for AC Horsens 35%. The goals: K. Ehibhatiomhan 15' for AC Horsens, I. Thorvaldsson 66' for Lyngby, A. Justinussen 90' for AC Horsens. On expected goals it finished 0.70–2.73.