23 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC Superliga prediction & result

MCH Arena, Herning
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Midtjylland 1-0 Randers FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% FC Midtjylland, 25% draw, 17% Randers FC — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Midtjylland at 58%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Midtjylland98%Draw2%Randers FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Osorio
28'
M. Jensen
40'
46'
🔁J. Storchout: P. Izzo
🔁P. Billingout: D. Castillo
46'
🔁S. Iheanachoout: F. Etim
54'
🔁K. Watjenout: V. Byskov
54'
56'
L. Pedersen
🔁M. Jensenout: M. Erlic
60'
62'
🔁K. Junkerout: M. Sankoh
75'
E. Mahmoud
78'
🔁M. Sjolstadout: C. Edudzi
78'
🔁S. Hansenout: F. Sommer
🔁S. Johannesenout: D. Beni
84'
84'
🔁E. Mahmoudout: M. Toure

Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC

58%Possession42%
20Shots8
6On target2
10Corners5
1.36xG0.96

Goals against chances

FC Midtjylland1 from 1.36 xGabout what the chances were worth
Randers FC0 from 0.96 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Midtjylland 3-5-2
  • 1Elías ÓlafssonG
  • 5Rasmus KristensenD
  • 3Magnus JensenD
  • 22Mads Bech SørensenD
  • 11Darío OsorioM
  • 8Philip BillingM
  • 19Pedro BravoM
  • 29Kjell WätjenM
  • 27Sofus JohannesenM
  • 18Stanley IheanachoF
  • 10Gue-sung ChoF
Substitutes
  • 21Denil CastilloM
  • 20Valdemar ByskovM
  • 90Friday EtimF
  • 6Martin ErlićD
  • 15Beni JuniorD
  • 25Nordin BakkerG
  • 13Adam GabrielD
  • 7Franculino DjúF
  • 38Julius EmefileM
Coach: Mike Tullberg
Randers FC 4-2-3-1
  • 32Jannich StorchG
  • 24Sabil HansenD
  • 3Daniel HøeghD
  • 4Wessel DammersD
  • 44Nikolas DyhrD
  • 17Mathias GreveM
  • 8Laurits PedersenM
  • 7Mike ThemsenM
  • 11Elies MahmoudM
  • 15Martin SjølstadM
  • 77Kasper JunkerF
Substitutes
  • 1Paul IzzoG
  • 30Mohamed SankohF
  • 31Felix SommerD
  • 33Cyril EdudziF
  • 19Musa TouréF
  • 5Oliver JonesD
  • 26Hector HøyrupM
  • 38Max AlbækM
  • 9Amin Al-HamawiF
Coach: Rasmus Bertelsen

Form going into FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC

FC Midtjylland

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0HNK Rijeka20 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Lyngby16 August 2026
  • W3-2Bohemians13 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Bohemians6 August 2026
  • W2-1AC Horsens2 August 2026

Randers FC

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4FC Copenhagen16 August 2026
  • W2-0Lyngby9 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland2 August 2026
  • D1-1Silkeborg27 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Midtjylland went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Randers FC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Randers FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Randers FC had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Midtjylland149502917+1232
11Randers FC143291427-1311

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC

  • 9 November 2025Randers FC 0–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 29 September 2025FC Midtjylland 2–1 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 2 July 2025FC Midtjylland 2–3 Randers FCFriendlies Clubs
  • 25 May 2025FC Midtjylland 3–2 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 4 April 2025Randers FC 2–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga

Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and Randers FC

FC Midtjylland

GoalsAssists

  • F. Etim63

Randers FC

GoalsAssists

  • M. Themsen51
  • M. Sankoh41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Midtjylland beat Randers FC 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Midtjylland at 58%. The goal: D. Osorio 28' for FC Midtjylland. On expected goals it finished 1.36–0.96.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.