Baník Ostrava
vs
Artis
Czech Liga prediction
The model makes it 80% Baník Ostrava, 13% draw, 7% Artis — fair odds of 1.25, 7.69 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0 (9%).
Expected goals: Baník Ostrava 3.09, Artis 0.90.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Baník Ostrava
- L1-2away to Hradec Králové9 August 2026
- L0-4Slavia Praha1 August 2026
- W1-0away to Zlin25 July 2026
Artis
- D1-1away to Slovácko1 August 2026
- L2-4Mlada Boleslav27 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Artis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Baník Ostrava
No league goals recorded yet.
Artis
- Q. Adediran2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Baník Ostrava carry a model rating of 6.79 against 6.33 for Artis. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Baník Ostrava W-L-L; Artis L-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.09 goals for Baník Ostrava and 0.90 for Artis. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Baník Ostrava rate 0.73 in attack and 0.87 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Artis rate 0.74 and 2.24.
That points to 76% for over two and a half goals and 57% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 3-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Baník Ostrava the highest probability at 80%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.09 expected goals for Baník Ostrava against 0.9 for Artis. Baník Ostrava's attack/defence rating is 0.73/0.87 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.74/2.24 for Artis.