Teplice vs FK Jablonec Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Teplice 2-0 FK Jablonec.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Teplice, 29% draw, 29% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Teplice at 42% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Teplice vs FK Jablonec
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29M. TrmalG
- 6M. BilekD
- 4O. VientiessD
- 28D. VecerkaD
- 25M. RiznicD
- 8J. FortelnyM
- 23L. MarecekM
- 35M. RadostaM
- 12M. CermakM
- 21I. HopiM
- 10M. PulkrabF
- 31K. LichtenbergG
- 13D. TaradudaD
- 5J. JakubkoD
- 14L. KrejciM
- 16P. KodesM
- 3J. SvandaM
- 37D. MarecekM
- 11M. KozakF
- 17J. AutaM
- 99K. MihelakG
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 15D. PavlovicD
- 57F. NovakD
- 23E. SobolD
- 6N. OkekeM
- 13R. SedlacekM
- 16H. AhlM
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 17S. AlioumM
- 44L. JawoF
- 1J. HanusG
- 14D. SoucekD
- 20J. SlamaD
- 90N. InnocentiD
- 7V. ChanturishviliM
- 10J. SuchanM
- 22R. HorakM
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 9A. RusekF
Form going into Teplice vs FK Jablonec
Teplice
- L0-2Zbrojovka Brno23 August 2026
FK Jablonec
- W1-0Rangers27 August 2026
- L0-1away to Rangers20 August 2026
- W2-1away to Rīgas FS13 August 2026
- W1-0Slovácko9 August 2026
- W2-0Rīgas FS6 August 2026
What these results say
- FK Jablonec won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FK Jablonec scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FK Jablonec had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Teplice | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Teplice vs FK Jablonec
- 31 January 2026FK Jablonec 1–0 TepliceCzech Liga
- 23 August 2025Teplice 0–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 6 April 2025Teplice 0–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 2 November 2024FK Jablonec 3–0 TepliceCzech Liga
- 6 December 2023FK Jablonec 3–2 TepliceCzech Liga
- 6 August 2023Teplice 0–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Teplice and FK Jablonec
Teplice
- John Auta4 goals
- M. Pulkrab3 goals1 assist
- L. Mareček3 goals1 assist
FK Jablonec
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.