Slovan Bratislava
vs
VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Champions League prediction
Our model says: Slovan Bratislava 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
The model makes it 32% Slovan Bratislava, 27% draw, 41% VfB Stuttgart — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 1.52, VfB Stuttgart 1.89.
Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Slovan Bratislava are 35th on 0 points from 1 game; VfB Stuttgart are 6th on 3 points from 1 game — UEFA Champions League.
- Slovan Bratislava have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 1-6 defeat away to Paris Saint Germain.
- VfB Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 4, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Borussia Dortmund.
All Champions League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart
Has the model earned this number?
It puts VfB Stuttgart at 41% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart
Slovan Bratislava
- L1-6away to Paris Saint Germain9 September 2026
- D1-1Celje19 August 2026
- W2-0Mjallby AIF11 August 2026
- W2-1away to Mjallby AIF4 August 2026
- D1-1FC Iberia 199929 July 2026
VfB Stuttgart
- W3-1Viking9 September 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Bratislava scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Slovan Bratislava.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart
- 21 January 2025Slovan Bratislava 1–3 VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League
Leading scorers: Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart
Slovan Bratislava
- A. Šporar2 goals
VfB Stuttgart
- E. Demirović3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Slovan Bratislava carry a model rating of 6.67 against 6.95 for VfB Stuttgart. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.52 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 1.89 for VfB Stuttgart. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Slovan Bratislava rate 0.83 in attack and 1.19 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; VfB Stuttgart rate 1.15 and 0.95.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives VfB Stuttgart the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.52 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava against 1.89 for VfB Stuttgart. Slovan Bratislava's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.19 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.15/0.95 for VfB Stuttgart.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Slovan Bratislava at home · VfB Stuttgart away
League matches only, this season — Slovan Bratislava in the Super Liga, VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All league matches this season: Slovan Bratislava 8 in the Super Liga, VfB Stuttgart 4 in the Bundesliga.
Slovan Bratislava score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); VfB Stuttgart have let in 2 there.
VfB Stuttgart score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); Slovan Bratislava have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Slovan Bratislava
- at Spartak Trnava17 Oct · Super Ligawin 33%
- at AS Roma20 Oct · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 9%
- vs Dukla Banská Bystrica24 Oct · Super Ligawin 66%
- at AS Trencin28 Oct · Super Ligawin 51%
VfB Stuttgart
- at Hamburger SV17 Oct · Bundesligawin 48%
- vs Atletico Madrid20 Oct · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 36%
- vs Borussia Mönchengladbach23 Oct · Bundesligawin 53%
- at Bayer Leverkusen31 Oct · Bundesligawin 27%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.