22 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result

Eden Arena, Prague
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Slavia Praha 2-2 Bohemians 1905.

Before kick-off the model made it 78% Slavia Praha, 13% draw, 9% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 1.28, 7.69 and 11.11.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slavia Praha at 78%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slavia Praha9%Draw88%Bohemians 19053%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Mubarak Suleiman
23'
30'
⚽Ladislav Almásiassist: Milan Havel
53'
Ladislav Almási
🔁Toumani Diakiteout: Wiktor Nowak
54'
🔁Tomáš Holešout: Ange N'Guessan
54'
Mubarak Suleiman
58'
🔁Elias Pitakout: Pavel Kačor
63'
🔁Mojmír Chytilout: Tomáš Chorý
63'
65'
🔁Jan Matoušekout: Václav Pilař
67'
Vojtěch Smrž
⚽Tomáš Chorýassist: Štěpán Chaloupek
75'
76'
🔁Matej Kadlecout: David Heidenreich
77'
🔁Petr Mirvaldout: Mathews Banda
🔁Danijel Šturmout: Tomáš Vlček
81'
85'
🔁Vojtěch Smržout: Šimon Černý
85'
🔁Milan Havelout: Jan Kovařík
89'
⚽Roman Kvetassist: David Heidenreich
Ange N'Guessan
90+1'
•Ange N'Guessan
90+5'
🔁Mubarak Suleimanout: Ivan Schranz
90'
90'
🔁Václav Pilařout: Ladislav Krobot

Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905

61%Possession39%
26Shots5
7On target2
11Corners1
2.74xG0.81

Goals against chances

Slavia Praha2 from 2.74 xGless than the chances were worth
Bohemians 19052 from 0.81 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slavia Praha
  • 35Jakub MarkovičG
  • 3Tomáš HolešD
  • 4David ZimaD
  • 2Štěpán ChaloupekD
  • 43Elias PitakM
  • 22Toumani DiakiteM
  • 23Michal SadílekM
  • 15Mubarak SuleimanM
  • 17Lukáš ProvodF
  • 10Danijel ŠturmF
  • 13Mojmír ChytilF
Substitutes
  • 6Ange N'GuessanD
  • 30Wiktor NowakM
  • 32Pavel KačorM
  • 25Tomáš ChorýF
  • 27Tomáš VlčekD
  • 26Ivan SchranzF
  • 29Nazar DomchakG
  • 42Mikuláš KonečnýD
  • 14Samuel IsifeD
Coach: Jindrich Trpisovsky
Bohemians 1905
  • 23Tomáš FrühwaldG
  • 25Peter KareemD
  • 27David LischkaD
  • 3Matej KadlecD
  • 24Milan HavelM
  • 42Vojtěch SmržM
  • 16Roman KvetM
  • 32Petr MirvaldM
  • 47Aleš ČermákF
  • 10Jan MatoušekF
  • 99Ladislav AlmásiF
Substitutes
  • 11Václav PilařM
  • 8David HeidenreichD
  • 15Mathews BandaD
  • 19Jan KovaříkM
  • 70Šimon ČernýM
  • 9Ladislav KrobotF
  • 71Jakub ŠimanG
  • 12Michal ReichlG
  • 22Jan VondraD
Coach: Jaroslav Vesely

Form going into Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905

Slavia Praha

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Slovan Liberec16 August 2026
  • W2-1Pardubice9 August 2026
  • W4-0away to Baník Ostrava1 August 2026
  • W5-1Slovácko26 July 2026

Bohemians 1905

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Zlin8 August 2026
  • D0-0Hradec Králové2 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Teplice25 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Slavia Praha141040368+2834
9Bohemians 1905145541515020

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905

  • 22 November 2025Slavia Praha 3–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 26 July 2025Bohemians 1905 0–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 2 March 2025Slavia Praha 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 29 September 2024Bohemians 1905 0–4 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 6 April 2024Slavia Praha 2–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga

Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Bohemians 1905

Slavia Praha

GoalsAssists

  • M. Chytil61
  • E. Ayaosi53
  • W. Nowak51

Bohemians 1905

GoalsAssists

  • A. Čermák52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slavia Praha and Bohemians 1905 drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Slavia Praha at 78% and given a draw 13%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: Mubarak Suleiman 23' for Slavia Praha, Ladislav Almási 30' for Bohemians 1905, Tomáš Chorý 75' for Slavia Praha, Roman Kvet 89' for Bohemians 1905. On expected goals it finished 2.74–0.81.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.