Renaissance Berkane
vs
CR Khemis Zemamra
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: Renaissance Berkane 1–0 CR Khemis Zemamra
The model makes it 44% Renaissance Berkane, 31% draw, 25% CR Khemis Zemamra — fair odds of 2.27, 3.23 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (15%).
Expected goals: Renaissance Berkane 1.42, CR Khemis Zemamra 0.81.
Both teams to score: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%, under 2.5: 62%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Renaissance Berkane are 12th on 1 point from 1 game; CR Khemis Zemamra are 15th on 0 points from 2 games — Botola Pro.
- Last 6 meetings: Renaissance Berkane 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 24 May 2026, ended Renaissance Berkane 1–0 CR Khemis Zemamra.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Renaissance Berkane at 44% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 1,415 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra
Renaissance Berkane
- D0-0away to Moghreb Tetouan27 September 2026
CR Khemis Zemamra
- L0-1away to Raja Casablanca3 October 2026
- L1-2away to Maghreb Fès27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Renaissance Berkane | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra
- 24 May 2026Renaissance Berkane 1–0 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
- 18 February 2026CR Khemis Zemamra 1–2 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
- 16 February 2025Renaissance Berkane 1–0 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
- 18 October 2024CR Khemis Zemamra 1–3 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
- 13 June 2024Renaissance Berkane 1–2 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
- 7 January 2024CR Khemis Zemamra 2–1 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
The two sides
Renaissance Berkane carry a model rating of 6.46 against 6.22 for CR Khemis Zemamra. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.42 goals for Renaissance Berkane and 0.81 for CR Khemis Zemamra. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Renaissance Berkane rate 0.63 in attack and 1.39 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; CR Khemis Zemamra rate 0.52 and 1.82.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,433 correct results out of 3,044 settled predictions (47%), with 301 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Renaissance Berkane the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.42 expected goals for Renaissance Berkane against 0.81 for CR Khemis Zemamra. Renaissance Berkane's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.39 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.52/1.82 for CR Khemis Zemamra.