FUS Rabat
vs
Raja Casablanca
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: FUS Rabat 0–1 Raja Casablanca
The model makes it 27% FUS Rabat, 31% draw, 42% Raja Casablanca — fair odds of 3.70, 3.23 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (15%).
Expected goals: FUS Rabat 0.84, Raja Casablanca 1.31.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 36%, under 2.5: 64%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- FUS Rabat are 14th on 0 points from 2 games; Raja Casablanca are 8th on 3 points from 1 game — Botola Pro.
- Last 6 meetings: Raja Casablanca 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 26 April 2026, ended Raja Casablanca 4–1 FUS Rabat.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Raja Casablanca at 42% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 1,415 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
FUS Rabat
- L0-1Amal Tiznit2 October 2026
- L1-2away to UTS Rabat26 September 2026
Raja Casablanca
- W1-0CR Khemis Zemamra3 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | FUS Rabat | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 8 | Raja Casablanca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
- 26 April 2026Raja Casablanca 4–1 FUS RabatBotola Pro
- 13 September 2025FUS Rabat 0–2 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
- 26 January 2025FUS Rabat 2–1 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
- 2 October 2024Raja Casablanca 1–0 FUS RabatBotola Pro
- 10 March 2024FUS Rabat 0–1 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
- 6 November 2023Raja Casablanca 2–0 FUS RabatBotola Pro
The two sides
FUS Rabat carry a model rating of 6.21 against 6.49 for Raja Casablanca. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.84 goals for FUS Rabat and 1.31 for Raja Casablanca. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FUS Rabat rate 0.50 in attack and 1.81 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Raja Casablanca rate 0.65 and 1.35.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,433 correct results out of 3,044 settled predictions (47%), with 301 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Raja Casablanca the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.84 expected goals for FUS Rabat against 1.31 for Raja Casablanca. FUS Rabat's attack/defence rating is 0.5/1.81 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.35 for Raja Casablanca.