Hassania Agadir
vs
FAR Rabat
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: Hassania Agadir 0–1 FAR Rabat
The model makes it 30% Hassania Agadir, 29% draw, 41% FAR Rabat — fair odds of 3.33, 3.45 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Hassania Agadir 1.11, FAR Rabat 1.52.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Last 6 meetings: FAR Rabat 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 10 May 2026, ended Hassania Agadir 2–3 FAR Rabat.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FAR Rabat at 41% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 1,415 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat
Hassania Agadir
- L1-2Maghreb Fès3 October 2026
- W3-2away to Kawkab Marrakech27 September 2026
FAR Rabat
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hassania Agadir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Where they stand. FAR Rabat has not started the league season yet. Full table
Head-to-head: Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat
- 10 May 2026Hassania Agadir 2–3 FAR RabatBotola Pro
- 29 October 2025FAR Rabat 3–0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 11 May 2025Hassania Agadir 0–3 FAR RabatBotola Pro
- 22 December 2024FAR Rabat 2–1 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 27 April 2024Hassania Agadir 2–1 FAR RabatBotola Pro
- 17 December 2023FAR Rabat 2–1 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
The two sides
Hassania Agadir carry a model rating of 6.24 against 6.45 for FAR Rabat. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.11 goals for Hassania Agadir and 1.52 for FAR Rabat. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Hassania Agadir rate 0.58 in attack and 1.97 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FAR Rabat rate 0.69 and 1.55.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,433 correct results out of 3,044 settled predictions (47%), with 301 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FAR Rabat the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Hassania Agadir against 1.52 for FAR Rabat. Hassania Agadir's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.97 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.69/1.55 for FAR Rabat.